Inchcape Plc Pink Sheet Forward View

IHCPF Stock  USD 9.80  0.00  0.00%   
Inchcape Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Inchcape Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Inchcape Plc's share price is approaching 39. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inchcape Plc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Inchcape Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Inchcape Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Inchcape Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inchcape plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Inchcape Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inchcape plc from the perspective of Inchcape Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Inchcape plc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.88.

Inchcape Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inchcape Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Inchcape Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Inchcape price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inchcape using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inchcape charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Inchcape Plc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Inchcape plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Inchcape Plc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Inchcape plc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inchcape Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inchcape Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Inchcape Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Inchcape Plc  Inchcape Plc Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Inchcape Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Inchcape Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inchcape Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.19 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Inchcape Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.80
9.79
Expected Value
10.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inchcape Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inchcape Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6419
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0309
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8831
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Inchcape plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Inchcape Plc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Inchcape Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inchcape plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.209.8010.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.289.8810.48
Details

Inchcape Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Inchcape Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inchcape Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Inchcape Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Inchcape Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Inchcape Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inchcape Plc's historical news coverage. Inchcape Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.20 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Inchcape Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.80
9.80
After-hype Price
10.40
Upside
Inchcape Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inchcape plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Inchcape Plc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inchcape Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inchcape Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inchcape Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.80
9.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Inchcape Plc Hype Timeline

Inchcape plc is currently traded for 9.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Inchcape is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inchcape Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.80. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Inchcape Plc was currently reported as 2.94. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. Inchcape plc had 1:10 split on the 17th of May 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inchcape Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Inchcape Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Inchcape Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inchcape Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Inchcape Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inchcape Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZSHGYZhongsheng Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 9.44 (10.19) 34.32 
ZHSHFZhongsheng Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  10.37 
JELCFJohnson Electric Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.00 (0.29) 17.65 
MMTOFMitsubishi Motors Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.00 (0.84) 6.11 
TGNOFTrigano SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  10.33 
KOTMFKoito Manufacturing Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JUMSFJumbo SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HOYFFHuhtamki Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  7.09 
BRBOFBrembo SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  0.00  0.00  29.81 
AMKYFABC MartInc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.69  12.77 (0.54) 0.54 

Other Forecasting Options for Inchcape Plc

For every potential investor in Inchcape, whether a beginner or expert, Inchcape Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inchcape Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inchcape. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inchcape Plc's price trends.

Inchcape Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inchcape Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inchcape Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inchcape Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Inchcape Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inchcape Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inchcape Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inchcape Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Inchcape plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Inchcape Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Inchcape Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inchcape Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inchcape pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Inchcape Plc

The number of cover stories for Inchcape Plc depends on current market conditions and Inchcape Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inchcape Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inchcape Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Inchcape Pink Sheet

Inchcape Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inchcape Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inchcape with respect to the benefits of owning Inchcape Plc security.