Voya Emerging Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

IHD Fund  USD 5.12  0.03  0.59%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Voya Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.20. Voya Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Voya Emerging stock prices and determine the direction of Voya Emerging Markets's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Voya Emerging's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Voya Emerging price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Voya Emerging Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Voya Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 5.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Emerging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Voya Emerging Fund Forecast Pattern

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Voya Emerging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Voya Emerging's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Emerging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.36 and 6.34, respectively. We have considered Voya Emerging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.12
5.35
Expected Value
6.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Emerging fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Emerging fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5609
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1508
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0282
SAESum of the absolute errors9.1992
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Voya Emerging Markets historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Voya Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.115.096.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.654.635.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Voya Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Voya Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Voya Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Voya Emerging Markets.

Other Forecasting Options for Voya Emerging

For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Emerging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Emerging's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Voya Emerging Markets Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Voya Emerging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Voya Emerging's current price.

Voya Emerging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Emerging fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Emerging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Emerging fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Emerging Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Voya Emerging Risk Indicators

The analysis of Voya Emerging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Emerging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Voya Fund

Voya Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Emerging security.
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