Interact Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IHGP Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interact Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. Interact Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Interact Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Interact Holdings Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Interact Holdings prices get older.

Interact Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interact Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000199, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interact Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interact Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Interact Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Interact Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Interact Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interact Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 10.52, respectively. We have considered Interact Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
10.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interact Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interact Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.1427
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0298
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Interact Holdings Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Interact Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Interact Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interact Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0110.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0110.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Interact Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Interact Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Interact Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Interact Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Interact Holdings

For every potential investor in Interact, whether a beginner or expert, Interact Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interact Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interact Holdings' price trends.

Interact Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interact Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interact Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interact Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Interact Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Interact Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Interact Holdings' current price.

Interact Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interact Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interact Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interact Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Interact Holdings Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Interact Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Interact Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interact Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interact pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Interact Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Interact Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Interact Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Interact Pink Sheet

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  0.38BIMT Bitmis CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Interact Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Interact Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Interact Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Interact Holdings Group to buy it.
The correlation of Interact Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Interact Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Interact Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Interact Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Interact Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Interact Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Interact Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interact Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Interact Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interact Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interact Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interact Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.