IHI Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

IHICF Stock  USD 23.30  0.74  3.28%   
IHI Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IHI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of IHI's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 84

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IHI's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IHI and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IHI's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IHI Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IHI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IHI Corporation from the perspective of IHI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IHI Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 23.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.09.

IHI after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IHI to cross-verify your projections.

IHI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IHI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IHI using various technical indicators. When you analyze IHI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for IHI is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of IHI Corporation value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

IHI Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of IHI Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 23.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IHI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IHI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IHI Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest IHI  IHI Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

IHI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IHI's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IHI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.43 and 26.01, respectively. We have considered IHI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.30
23.72
Expected Value
26.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IHI pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IHI pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3724
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors23.0911
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of IHI Corporation. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict IHI. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for IHI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IHI Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IHI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6123.9026.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9726.2228.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.1119.6122.10
Details

IHI After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IHI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IHI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of IHI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IHI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IHI's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IHI's historical news coverage. IHI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.61 and 26.19, respectively. We have considered IHI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.30
23.90
After-hype Price
26.19
Upside
IHI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IHI Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

IHI Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IHI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IHI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IHI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.29
  0.60 
  0.42 
6 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.30
23.90
2.58 
91.24  
Notes

IHI Hype Timeline

IHI Corporation is currently traded for 23.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.42. IHI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 91.24%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 2.58%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on IHI is about 130.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.72. IHI Corporation has accumulated 276.99 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IHI to cross-verify your projections.

IHI Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IHI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IHI's future price movements. Getting to know how IHI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IHI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for IHI

For every potential investor in IHI, whether a beginner or expert, IHI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IHI Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IHI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IHI's price trends.

IHI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IHI pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IHI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IHI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IHI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IHI pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IHI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IHI pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify IHI Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IHI Risk Indicators

The analysis of IHI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IHI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ihi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IHI

The number of cover stories for IHI depends on current market conditions and IHI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IHI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IHI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

IHI Short Properties

IHI's future price predictability will typically decrease when IHI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IHI Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IHI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IHI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments148.7 B

Other Information on Investing in IHI Pink Sheet

IHI financial ratios help investors to determine whether IHI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IHI with respect to the benefits of owning IHI security.