IHS Holding Stock Forward View

IHS Stock  USD 8.14  0.31  3.96%   
IHS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of IHS Holding's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IHS Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IHS Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IHS Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IHS Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting IHS Holding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0657
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7084
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6489
Wall Street Target Price
9.7857
Using IHS Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IHS Holding from the perspective of IHS Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IHS Holding using IHS Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IHS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IHS Holding's stock price.

IHS Holding Short Interest

An investor who is long IHS Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IHS Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge IHS Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.5771
Short Percent
0.0031
Short Ratio
0.48
Shares Short Prior Month
417.6 K
50 Day MA
7.4492

IHS Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IHS Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 7.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.19.

IHS Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to IHS Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IHS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IHS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IHS Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IHS Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IHS Holding.

IHS Holding Implied Volatility

    
  1.24  
IHS Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IHS Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IHS Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IHS Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when IHS Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IHS Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 7.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.19.

IHS Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IHS Holding to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy IHS Stock please use our How to Invest in IHS Holding guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 IHS Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IHS Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IHS Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IHS Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IHS Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to IHS Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IHS Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IHS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

IHS Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IHS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IHS using various technical indicators. When you analyze IHS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the IHS Holding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2006-12-31
Previous Quarter
531.8 M
Current Value
647.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
228.2 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for IHS Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of IHS Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

IHS Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of IHS Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 7.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IHS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IHS Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IHS Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IHS Holding  IHS Holding Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

IHS Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IHS Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IHS Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.11 and 10.82, respectively. We have considered IHS Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.14
7.96
Expected Value
10.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IHS Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IHS Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9393
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors10.1867
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of IHS Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict IHS Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for IHS Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IHS Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.947.8010.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.868.7211.58
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.909.7910.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IHS Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IHS Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IHS Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IHS Holding.

IHS Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IHS Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IHS Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IHS Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IHS Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IHS Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IHS Holding's historical news coverage. IHS Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.94 and 10.66, respectively. We have considered IHS Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.14
7.80
After-hype Price
10.66
Upside
IHS Holding is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IHS Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

IHS Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IHS Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IHS Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IHS Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
2.86
  0.03 
  0.29 
9 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.14
7.80
0.38 
3,178  
Notes

IHS Holding Hype Timeline

On the 6th of February IHS Holding is traded for 8.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. IHS is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on IHS Holding is about 346.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.43. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. IHS Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:2 split on the February 15, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IHS Holding to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy IHS Stock please use our How to Invest in IHS Holding guide.

IHS Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IHS Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IHS Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how IHS Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IHS Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CCOICogent Communications Group 0.20 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.76 (9.80) 34.85 
IDTIDT Corporation(0.89)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.68 (2.58) 7.41 
IRDMIridium Communications 0.15 12 per month 2.34  0.0007  4.26 (4.69) 15.79 
CABOCable One 2.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 8.28 (6.97) 17.97 
SKMSK Telecom Co 0.83 9 per month 0.00  0.27  3.00 (1.03) 11.56 
TIMBTIM Participacoes SA 0.04 7 per month 2.03  0.03  2.60 (2.87) 9.25 
PHIPLDT Inc ADR 0.04 6 per month 0.66  0.18  3.79 (1.68) 7.45 
LBRDKLiberty Broadband Srs 0.13 6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.54 (4.10) 10.17 
LBRDALiberty Broadband Srs 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.56 (3.96) 10.23 
CHTRCharter Communications 10.56 7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.26 (4.25) 9.83 
ATNIATN International 0.36 7 per month 1.52  0.27  5.16 (3.13) 22.28 
SHENShenandoah Telecommunications Co(0.29)8 per month 2.02 (0.01) 3.86 (3.95) 10.23 
ATEXAnterix 0.04 9 per month 2.65  0.11  7.64 (4.69) 20.21 
LBRDPLiberty Broadband Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.39 (0.06) 1.01 (0.70) 2.36 
TLKTelkom Indonesia Tbk(0.05)6 per month 2.75  0.02  2.94 (3.02) 17.24 
LBTYALiberty Global PLC 0.04 7 per month 1.18  0  2.90 (2.15) 5.94 

Other Forecasting Options for IHS Holding

For every potential investor in IHS, whether a beginner or expert, IHS Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IHS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IHS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IHS Holding's price trends.

View IHS Holding Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

IHS Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IHS Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IHS Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IHS Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IHS Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IHS Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of IHS Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IHS Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ihs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IHS Holding

The number of cover stories for IHS Holding depends on current market conditions and IHS Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IHS Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IHS Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

IHS Holding Short Properties

IHS Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when IHS Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IHS Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IHS Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IHS Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding333.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments578 M

Additional Tools for IHS Stock Analysis

When running IHS Holding's price analysis, check to measure IHS Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IHS Holding is operating at the current time. Most of IHS Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IHS Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IHS Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IHS Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.