InterRent Real Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IIP-UN Stock  CAD 10.98  0.28  2.62%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of InterRent Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 11.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.22. InterRent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast InterRent Real stock prices and determine the direction of InterRent Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of InterRent Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, InterRent Real's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.71. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 153.5 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 201.7 M.
A naive forecasting model for InterRent Real is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of InterRent Real Estate value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

InterRent Real Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of InterRent Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 11.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InterRent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InterRent Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InterRent Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InterRent RealInterRent Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InterRent Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InterRent Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InterRent Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.88 and 12.47, respectively. We have considered InterRent Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.98
11.17
Expected Value
12.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InterRent Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InterRent Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5241
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1347
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors8.2195
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of InterRent Real Estate. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict InterRent Real. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for InterRent Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InterRent Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InterRent Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7111.0212.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.319.6212.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.390.390.39
Details

Other Forecasting Options for InterRent Real

For every potential investor in InterRent, whether a beginner or expert, InterRent Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InterRent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InterRent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InterRent Real's price trends.

InterRent Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InterRent Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InterRent Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InterRent Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InterRent Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of InterRent Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of InterRent Real's current price.

InterRent Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InterRent Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InterRent Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InterRent Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InterRent Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InterRent Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of InterRent Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InterRent Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interrent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with InterRent Real

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if InterRent Real position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in InterRent Real will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with InterRent Stock

  0.78AEMC Alaska Energy MetalsPairCorr
  0.69CMC Cielo Waste SolutionsPairCorr

Moving against InterRent Stock

  0.94LQWD LQwD FinTech CorpPairCorr
  0.7ERC Eros Resources CorpPairCorr
  0.67MATE Blockmate Ventures Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to InterRent Real could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace InterRent Real when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back InterRent Real - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling InterRent Real Estate to buy it.
The correlation of InterRent Real is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as InterRent Real moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if InterRent Real Estate moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for InterRent Real can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in InterRent Stock

InterRent Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether InterRent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in InterRent with respect to the benefits of owning InterRent Real security.