Itokk Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

IKTO Stock  USD 0.0003  0.0002  200.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itokk Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000014 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008. Itokk Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Itokk's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Itokk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Itokk Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Itokk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Itokk Inc from the perspective of Itokk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itokk Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000014 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008.

Itokk after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itokk to cross-verify your projections.

Itokk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Itokk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Itokk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Itokk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Itokk is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Itokk Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itokk Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000014, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Itokk Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Itokk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Itokk Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ItokkItokk Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Itokk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Itokk's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Itokk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 37.47, respectively. We have considered Itokk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0003
0.000003
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
37.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Itokk pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Itokk pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria94.4421
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0876
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0E-4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Itokk Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Itokk. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Itokk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itokk Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itokk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000337.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000237.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Itokk After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Itokk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Itokk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Itokk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Itokk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Itokk's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Itokk's historical news coverage. Itokk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 37.47, respectively. We have considered Itokk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0003
0.0003
After-hype Price
37.47
Upside
Itokk is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Itokk Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Itokk Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Itokk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Itokk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Itokk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.57 
37.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0003
0.0003
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Itokk Hype Timeline

Itokk Inc is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Itokk is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 4.57%. %. The volatility of related hype on Itokk is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Itokk Inc had 1:500 split on the 15th of November 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itokk to cross-verify your projections.

Itokk Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Itokk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Itokk's future price movements. Getting to know how Itokk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Itokk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Itokk

For every potential investor in Itokk, whether a beginner or expert, Itokk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Itokk Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Itokk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Itokk's price trends.

Itokk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Itokk pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Itokk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Itokk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Itokk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Itokk pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Itokk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Itokk pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Itokk Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Itokk

The number of cover stories for Itokk depends on current market conditions and Itokk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Itokk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Itokk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Itokk Pink Sheet

Itokk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Itokk Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Itokk with respect to the benefits of owning Itokk security.