International Land Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ILAL Stock | USD 0.24 0.01 4.35% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Land Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. International Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of International Land's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using International Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Land Alliance from the perspective of International Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Land Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. International Land after-hype prediction price | USD 0.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International |
International Land Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
International Land Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Land Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Land Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest International Land | International Land Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
International Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Land's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.91, respectively. We have considered International Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Land pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Land pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.4017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0102 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0514 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.61 |
Predictive Modules for International Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Land After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of International Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Land's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Land's historical news coverage. International Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 11.95, respectively. We have considered International Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Land is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Land is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Land Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.26 | 11.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.24 | 0.28 | 21.78 |
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International Land Hype Timeline
International Land is currently traded for 0.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. International is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 21.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.26%. The volatility of related hype on International Land is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.24. International Land Alliance currently holds 1.74 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.42, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. International Land has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist International Land until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, International Land's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like International Land sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about International Land's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Land to cross-verify your projections.International Land Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Land's future price movements. Getting to know how International Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOLLY | Shui On Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.85 | |
| BCKMF | The Becker Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ECDP | Eco Depot | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.14 | 0.02 | 16.59 | (16.80) | 45.08 | |
| ABCP | Ambase Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.26 | (9.09) | 27.27 | |
| KDCCF | Kadestone Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GZUHY | Guangzhou RF Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BMNM | Bimini Capital Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.31 | 0.26 | 13.45 | (7.93) | 40.61 | |
| IVREF | Inovalis Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.06 | 9.43 | (2.74) | 37.92 | |
| MYCB | My City Builders | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 675.51 | |
| MNGGF | Mongolia Growth Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.71) | 17.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for International Land
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Land's price trends.International Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Land pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Land pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Land pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify International Land Alliance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24755.5 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
International Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.26 | |||
| Variance | 126.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 87.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (13.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for International Land
The number of cover stories for International Land depends on current market conditions and International Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in International Pink Sheet
International Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Land security.