Il2m International Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ILIM Stock  USD 0.0004  0.00  0.00%   
Il2m Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Il2m International's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Il2m International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Il2m International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Il2m International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Il2m International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Il2m International Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Il2m International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Il2m International Corp from the perspective of Il2m International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Il2m International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000021 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Il2m International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.89E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Il2m International to cross-verify your projections.

Il2m International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Il2m price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Il2m using various technical indicators. When you analyze Il2m charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Il2m International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Il2m International Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Il2m International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Il2m International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000021, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Il2m Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Il2m International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Il2m International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Il2m International  Il2m International Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Il2m International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Il2m International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Il2m International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Il2m International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0004
Expected Value
9.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Il2m International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Il2m International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.2749
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0564
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0013
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Il2m International Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Il2m International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Il2m International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Il2m International Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00059.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00049.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00040.00040.0004
Details

Il2m International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Il2m International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Il2m International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Il2m International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Il2m International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Il2m International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Il2m International's historical news coverage. Il2m International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Il2m International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0005
After-hype Price
9.75
Upside
Il2m International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Il2m International Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Il2m International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Il2m International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Il2m International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Il2m International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
9.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0005
22.22 
0.00  
Notes

Il2m International Hype Timeline

Il2m International Corp is currently traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Il2m is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.89E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 22.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Il2m International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Debt can assist Il2m International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Il2m International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Il2m International Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Il2m to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Il2m International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Il2m International to cross-verify your projections.

Il2m International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Il2m International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Il2m International's future price movements. Getting to know how Il2m International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Il2m International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RBDCRBID Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
XESPCannAssist International Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OOOOFOOOOO Entertainment Commerce 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SONGMusic Licensing 0.00 0 per month 19.46  0.13  100.00 (50.00) 198.65 
SPFYFSpacefy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  73.57 (2.11) 234.44 
ABWNAirborne Wireless Network 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HYWIHollywood Intermediate 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ACCRAccess Power Co 0.00 0 per month 12.65  0.12  38.89 (23.53) 119.21 
BOTYLingerie Fighting Championships 0.00 0 per month 15.71  0.09  100.00 (50.00) 150.00 
TVCETVC Telecom 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Il2m International

For every potential investor in Il2m, whether a beginner or expert, Il2m International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Il2m Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Il2m. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Il2m International's price trends.

Il2m International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Il2m International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Il2m International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Il2m International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Il2m International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Il2m International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Il2m International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Il2m International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Il2m International Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Il2m International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Il2m International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Il2m International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting il2m pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Il2m International

The number of cover stories for Il2m International depends on current market conditions and Il2m International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Il2m International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Il2m International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Il2m Pink Sheet

Il2m International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Il2m Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Il2m with respect to the benefits of owning Il2m International security.