Iluka Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ILKAF Stock  USD 3.86  0.01  0.26%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iluka Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.46. Iluka Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Iluka Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Iluka Resources' share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Iluka Resources, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Iluka Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Iluka Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Iluka Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Iluka Resources Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Iluka Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iluka Resources Limited from the perspective of Iluka Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iluka Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.46.

Iluka Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Iluka Resources to cross-verify your projections.

Iluka Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Iluka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iluka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iluka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Iluka Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Iluka Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Iluka Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Iluka Resources.

Iluka Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iluka Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iluka Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iluka Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iluka Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Iluka ResourcesIluka Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Iluka Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iluka Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iluka Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Iluka Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.86
3.84
Expected Value
8.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iluka Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iluka Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0426
MADMean absolute deviation0.1604
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0348
SAESum of the absolute errors9.4634
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Iluka Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Iluka Resources Limited observations.

Predictive Modules for Iluka Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iluka Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.868.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.678.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iluka Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iluka Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iluka Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iluka Resources.

Other Forecasting Options for Iluka Resources

For every potential investor in Iluka, whether a beginner or expert, Iluka Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iluka Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iluka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iluka Resources' price trends.

Iluka Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iluka Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iluka Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iluka Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iluka Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iluka Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iluka Resources' current price.

Iluka Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iluka Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iluka Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iluka Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Iluka Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iluka Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iluka Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iluka Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iluka pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Iluka Pink Sheet

Iluka Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iluka Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iluka with respect to the benefits of owning Iluka Resources security.