Triller Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Triller Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Triller price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triller using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triller charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Triller is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Triller Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Triller Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Triller Group on the next trading day is expected to be -0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44.

Triller Stock Forecast Pattern

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Triller Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Triller stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Triller stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Triller Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Triller. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Triller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triller Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.0003 50.02 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.0003 50.02 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High -0.01 0.04 0.09 Details

Triller After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Triller Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Triller Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Triller Hype Timeline

Triller Group is currently traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.17. Triller is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.44E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -14.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 6.11%. The volatility of related hype on Triller is about 188316.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.17. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Triller Related Hype Analysis

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