ImageneBio Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IMA Stock   6.77  0.13  1.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ImageneBio on the next trading day is expected to be 6.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.82. ImageneBio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ImageneBio stock prices and determine the direction of ImageneBio's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ImageneBio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of ImageneBio's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ImageneBio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ImageneBio, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ImageneBio's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.99)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(3.32)
Wall Street Target Price
30
Using ImageneBio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ImageneBio from the perspective of ImageneBio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ImageneBio on the next trading day is expected to be 6.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.82.

ImageneBio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ImageneBio to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade ImageneBio Stock refer to our How to Trade ImageneBio Stock guide.As of January 14, 2026, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 0.54. In addition to that, Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 0.90. As of January 14, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 38.9 M.

ImageneBio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ImageneBio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ImageneBio using various technical indicators. When you analyze ImageneBio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

ImageneBio Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the ImageneBio's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-12-31
Previous Quarter
58.3 M
Current Value
103.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
87.9 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for ImageneBio is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ImageneBio value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ImageneBio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ImageneBio on the next trading day is expected to be 6.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ImageneBio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ImageneBio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ImageneBio Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ImageneBioImageneBio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ImageneBio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ImageneBio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ImageneBio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.06 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered ImageneBio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.77
6.70
Expected Value
10.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ImageneBio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ImageneBio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3161
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2068
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors12.8199
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ImageneBio. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ImageneBio. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ImageneBio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ImageneBio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.166.8010.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.126.7610.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.83-0.83-0.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ImageneBio

For every potential investor in ImageneBio, whether a beginner or expert, ImageneBio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ImageneBio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ImageneBio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ImageneBio's price trends.

ImageneBio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ImageneBio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ImageneBio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ImageneBio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ImageneBio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ImageneBio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ImageneBio's current price.

ImageneBio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ImageneBio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ImageneBio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ImageneBio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ImageneBio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ImageneBio Risk Indicators

The analysis of ImageneBio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ImageneBio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imagenebio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether ImageneBio offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ImageneBio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Imagenebio Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Imagenebio Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ImageneBio to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade ImageneBio Stock refer to our How to Trade ImageneBio Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ImageneBio. If investors know ImageneBio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ImageneBio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.33)
Revenue Per Share
0.011
The market value of ImageneBio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ImageneBio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ImageneBio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ImageneBio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ImageneBio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ImageneBio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ImageneBio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ImageneBio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ImageneBio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.