Imperial Brands OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| IMBBF Stock | USD 39.94 0.18 0.45% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Imperial Brands PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 39.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.78. Imperial OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Imperial Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, the value of RSI of Imperial Brands' share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Imperial Brands, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Imperial Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Imperial Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Imperial Brands PLC from the perspective of Imperial Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Imperial Brands PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 39.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.78. Imperial Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 39.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Imperial |
Imperial Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Imperial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imperial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Imperial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Imperial Brands Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Imperial Brands PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 39.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imperial OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imperial Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Imperial Brands OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Imperial Brands | Imperial Brands Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Imperial Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Imperial Brands' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imperial Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.47 and 42.41, respectively. We have considered Imperial Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imperial Brands otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imperial Brands otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3854 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0125 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7759 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.78 |
Predictive Modules for Imperial Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Brands PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Imperial Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Imperial Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Imperial Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Imperial Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Imperial Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Imperial Brands' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Imperial Brands' historical news coverage. Imperial Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.47 and 42.41, respectively. We have considered Imperial Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Imperial Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Imperial Brands PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Imperial Brands OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Imperial Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Imperial Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Imperial Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.94 | 39.94 | 0.00 |
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Imperial Brands Hype Timeline
Imperial Brands PLC is currently traded for 39.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Imperial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Imperial Brands is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.94. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Imperial Brands was currently reported as 7.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. Imperial Brands PLC last dividend was issued on the 16th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imperial Brands to cross-verify your projections.Imperial Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Imperial Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Imperial Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Imperial Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Imperial Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HENOF | Henkel AG Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.53 | (2.04) | 5.12 | |
| HENOY | Henkel Ag A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.06) | 1.94 | (1.48) | 5.68 | |
| HELKF | Henkel AG Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.44 | |
| HENKY | Henkel AG Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.03) | 2.13 | (1.38) | 4.28 | |
| SVNDY | Seven i Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 2.31 | (1.81) | 8.65 | |
| SVNDF | Seven i Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 12.23 | |
| LDSVF | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Sprngli | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.74 | (2.40) | 5.67 | |
| ADRNY | Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.38 | (1.42) | 4.00 | |
| DLMAF | Dollarama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.01 | 2.54 | (1.80) | 13.27 | |
| TSCDF | Tesco PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.11 | (4.31) | 11.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Imperial Brands
For every potential investor in Imperial, whether a beginner or expert, Imperial Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imperial OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imperial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imperial Brands' price trends.Imperial Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imperial Brands otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imperial Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imperial Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Imperial Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imperial Brands otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imperial Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imperial Brands otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imperial Brands PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Imperial Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Imperial Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imperial Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imperial otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Variance | 6.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Imperial Brands
The number of cover stories for Imperial Brands depends on current market conditions and Imperial Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Imperial Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Imperial Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Imperial OTC Stock
Imperial Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imperial OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imperial with respect to the benefits of owning Imperial Brands security.