Immunocore Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| IMCR Stock | USD 32.07 0.97 2.94% |
Immunocore Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Immunocore Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Immunocore Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Immunocore Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today the rsi of Immunocore Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.84) | Wall Street Target Price 66.3568 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.24) |
Using Immunocore Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Immunocore Holdings from the perspective of Immunocore Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Immunocore Holdings using Immunocore Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Immunocore using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Immunocore Holdings' stock price.
Immunocore Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Immunocore Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Immunocore Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Immunocore Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.8278 | Short Percent 0.2728 | Short Ratio 30.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.5 M | 50 Day MA 35.6433 |
Immunocore Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Immunocore Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 33.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.63.Immunocore Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Immunocore Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Immunocore. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Immunocore can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Immunocore Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Immunocore Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Immunocore Holdings.
Immunocore Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Immunocore Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Immunocore Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Immunocore Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Immunocore Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Immunocore Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Immunocore Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 33.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.63. Immunocore Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 32.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Immunocore contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Immunocore Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Immunocore Holdings trading at USD 32.07, that is roughly USD 0.0178 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Immunocore Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Immunocore Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Immunocore Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Immunocore Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Immunocore Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Immunocore Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Immunocore Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Immunocore Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Immunocore Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Immunocore. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Immunocore Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Immunocore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Immunocore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Immunocore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Immunocore Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Immunocore Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 33.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42, mean absolute percentage error of 3.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Immunocore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Immunocore Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Immunocore Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Immunocore Holdings | Immunocore Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Immunocore Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Immunocore Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Immunocore Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.58 and 35.46, respectively. We have considered Immunocore Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Immunocore Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Immunocore Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2921 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4202 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.04 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.6334 |
Predictive Modules for Immunocore Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immunocore Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immunocore Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Immunocore Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Immunocore Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Immunocore Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Immunocore Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Immunocore Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Immunocore Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Immunocore Holdings' historical news coverage. Immunocore Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.58 and 34.46, respectively. We have considered Immunocore Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Immunocore Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Immunocore Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Immunocore Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Immunocore Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Immunocore Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Immunocore Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.44 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
32.07 | 32.02 | 0.16 |
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Immunocore Holdings Hype Timeline
Immunocore Holdings is currently traded for 32.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Immunocore is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 187.69%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Immunocore Holdings is about 2681.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.07. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Immunocore Holdings was currently reported as 7.86. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.58. Immunocore Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Immunocore Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Immunocore Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Immunocore Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Immunocore Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Immunocore Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Immunocore Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XERS | Xeris Pharmaceuticals | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.71 | (4.66) | 23.95 | |
| JANX | Janux Therapeutics | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.88 | (5.07) | 63.52 | |
| VERA | Vera Therapeutics | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.05 | 0.14 | 10.77 | (4.62) | 23.44 | |
| CLDX | Celldex Therapeutics | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.44 | (5.57) | 13.96 | |
| ABCL | Abcellera Biologics | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.90 | (8.62) | 22.32 | |
| SION | Sionna Therapeutics Common | 0.59 | 10 per month | 4.74 | 0.04 | 7.92 | (7.41) | 31.39 | |
| HRMY | Harmony Biosciences Holdings | (2.54) | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.18 | 3.61 | (2.28) | 11.30 | |
| BHVN | Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding | 1.48 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.23 | (7.35) | 40.22 | |
| MNKD | MannKind Corp | 0.11 | 12 per month | 2.65 | 0.01 | 4.09 | (5.94) | 18.20 | |
| NUVB | Nuvation Bio | (0.36) | 8 per month | 4.61 | 0.05 | 7.33 | (5.78) | 68.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Immunocore Holdings
For every potential investor in Immunocore, whether a beginner or expert, Immunocore Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Immunocore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Immunocore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Immunocore Holdings' price trends.Immunocore Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Immunocore Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Immunocore Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Immunocore Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Immunocore Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Immunocore Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Immunocore Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Immunocore Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Immunocore Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Immunocore Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Immunocore Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Immunocore Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immunocore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Immunocore Holdings
The number of cover stories for Immunocore Holdings depends on current market conditions and Immunocore Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Immunocore Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Immunocore Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Immunocore Holdings Short Properties
Immunocore Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Immunocore Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Immunocore Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Immunocore Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immunocore Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 820.4 M |
Additional Tools for Immunocore Stock Analysis
When running Immunocore Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Immunocore Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immunocore Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Immunocore Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immunocore Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immunocore Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immunocore Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.