Infinity Mining Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IMI Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Infinity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Infinity Mining's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Infinity Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Infinity Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Infinity Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Infinity Mining's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.70)
Using Infinity Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Infinity Mining from the perspective of Infinity Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Infinity Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.

Infinity Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infinity Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Infinity Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Infinity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Infinity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Infinity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Infinity Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Infinity Mining value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Infinity Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Infinity Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000086, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Infinity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Infinity Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Infinity Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Infinity Mining  Infinity Mining Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Infinity Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Infinity Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Infinity Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 8.67, respectively. We have considered Infinity Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
8.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Infinity Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Infinity Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.1467
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0674
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0467
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Infinity Mining. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Infinity Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Infinity Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infinity Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.67
Details

Infinity Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Infinity Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Infinity Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Infinity Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Infinity Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Infinity Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Infinity Mining's historical news coverage. Infinity Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.67, respectively. We have considered Infinity Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
8.67
Upside
Infinity Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Infinity Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Infinity Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Infinity Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Infinity Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Infinity Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
8.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
0.00 
288,667  
Notes

Infinity Mining Hype Timeline

Infinity Mining is currently traded for 0.01on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Infinity is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Infinity Mining is about 168975.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Infinity Mining recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Infinity Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Infinity Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Infinity Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Infinity Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Infinity Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Infinity Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SIGSigma Healthcare 0.03 7 per month 1.22 (0.05) 2.15 (1.92) 6.53 
BTCBTC Health(0)7 per month 1.55  0.07  3.39 (3.23) 15.77 
TRMTruscott Mining 0.00 3 per month 2.73  0  5.26 (6.98) 18.45 
RHTResonance Health 0 3 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.52 (6.00) 22.45 
AMIAurelia Metals(0.02)7 per month 3.17  0.1  7.69 (4.17) 13.26 
VITVitura Health 0 5 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.84 (3.28) 10.99 
SLBStelar Metals(0)6 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.55 (7.89) 19.09 
AACAustralian Agricultural 0.03 4 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.90 (2.82) 9.04 

Other Forecasting Options for Infinity Mining

For every potential investor in Infinity, whether a beginner or expert, Infinity Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Infinity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Infinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Infinity Mining's price trends.

Infinity Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Infinity Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Infinity Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Infinity Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Infinity Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Infinity Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Infinity Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Infinity Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Infinity Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Infinity Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Infinity Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Infinity Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting infinity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Infinity Mining

The number of cover stories for Infinity Mining depends on current market conditions and Infinity Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Infinity Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Infinity Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Infinity Mining Short Properties

Infinity Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Infinity Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Infinity Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Infinity Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infinity Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding242.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments599.4 K

Additional Tools for Infinity Stock Analysis

When running Infinity Mining's price analysis, check to measure Infinity Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infinity Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Infinity Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infinity Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infinity Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infinity Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.