Ingles Markets Stock Forward View
| IMKTA Stock | USD 72.86 2.00 2.67% |
Ingles Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ingles Markets stock prices and determine the direction of Ingles Markets Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ingles Markets' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Ingles Markets' share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ingles Markets, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Ingles Markets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ingles Markets Incorporated from the perspective of Ingles Markets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ingles Markets using Ingles Markets' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ingles using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ingles Markets' stock price.
Ingles Markets Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Ingles Markets' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ingles Markets Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ingles Markets' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ingles Markets stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ingles Markets' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ingles Markets Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 72.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.18. Ingles Markets after-hype prediction price | USD 72.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingles Markets to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ingles contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ingles Markets Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ingles Markets trading at USD 72.86, that is roughly USD 0.0223 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ingles Markets' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ingles Markets Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ingles Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ingles Markets' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ingles Markets' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ingles Markets stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ingles Markets' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ingles Markets' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ingles Markets is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ingles. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ingles Markets Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingles price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingles using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingles charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ingles Markets Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ingles Markets' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-09-30 | Previous Quarter 336.1 M | Current Value 366.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 83 M |
Ingles Markets Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ingles Markets Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 72.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ingles Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ingles Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ingles Markets Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ingles Markets | Ingles Markets Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ingles Markets Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ingles Markets' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ingles Markets' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.26 and 74.24, respectively. We have considered Ingles Markets' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ingles Markets stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ingles Markets stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1799 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7898 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.1782 |
Predictive Modules for Ingles Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingles Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ingles Markets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ingles Markets After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ingles Markets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ingles Markets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ingles Markets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingles Markets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ingles Markets' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ingles Markets' historical news coverage. Ingles Markets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.40 and 74.32, respectively. We have considered Ingles Markets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ingles Markets is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ingles Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ingles Markets Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingles Markets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingles Markets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingles Markets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.49 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.86 | 72.86 | 0.00 |
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Ingles Markets Hype Timeline
Ingles Markets is currently traded for 72.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Ingles is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 89.22%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ingles Markets is about 336.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.88. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ingles Markets has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingles Markets to cross-verify your projections.Ingles Markets Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ingles Markets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ingles Markets' future price movements. Getting to know how Ingles Markets' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ingles Markets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.12 | (4.94) | 12.67 | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | 1.28 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.07 | 2.23 | (1.65) | 7.02 | |
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings | 1.33 | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.88) | 13.62 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | 0.06 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.50 | (5.75) | 22.88 | |
| UVV | Universal | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.04 | 1.65 | (1.81) | 8.15 | |
| AFYA | Afya | (0.17) | 6 per month | 1.66 | (0.01) | 2.30 | (2.99) | 6.95 | |
| COUR | Coursera | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.66 | (4.25) | 14.34 | |
| PXED | Phoenix Education Partners | 1.84 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.27 | (6.69) | 19.88 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.73 | (4.31) | 25.18 | |
| NWL | Newell Rubbermaid | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.38 | (3.67) | 30.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ingles Markets
For every potential investor in Ingles, whether a beginner or expert, Ingles Markets' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ingles Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ingles. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ingles Markets' price trends.Ingles Markets Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ingles Markets stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ingles Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ingles Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ingles Markets Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ingles Markets stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ingles Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ingles Markets stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ingles Markets Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ingles Markets Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ingles Markets' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ingles Markets' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ingles stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ingles Markets
The number of cover stories for Ingles Markets depends on current market conditions and Ingles Markets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ingles Markets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ingles Markets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ingles Markets Short Properties
Ingles Markets' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ingles Markets' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ingles Markets Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ingles Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingles Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 366.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingles Markets to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ingles Markets. Market participants price Ingles higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ingles Markets assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.66 | Earnings Share 4.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Ingles Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ingles that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ingles Markets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ingles Markets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ingles Markets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ingles Markets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ingles Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ingles Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Ingles Markets' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.