Immunome Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

IMNM Stock  USD 9.82  0.40  4.25%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immunome on the next trading day is expected to be 9.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.77. Immunome Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Immunome's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Immunome's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Immunome fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 23rd of November 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 7.27, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (0.70). . As of the 23rd of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 11.7 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (32.1 M).
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Immunome works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Immunome Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immunome on the next trading day is expected to be 9.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Immunome Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Immunome's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Immunome Stock Forecast Pattern

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Immunome Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Immunome's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Immunome's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.83 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered Immunome's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.82
9.78
Expected Value
13.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Immunome stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Immunome stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0692
MADMean absolute deviation0.4368
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0341
SAESum of the absolute errors25.7741
When Immunome prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Immunome trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Immunome observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Immunome

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immunome. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.009.9413.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.628.5612.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.319.6910.06
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Immunome

For every potential investor in Immunome, whether a beginner or expert, Immunome's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Immunome Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Immunome. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Immunome's price trends.

Immunome Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Immunome stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Immunome could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Immunome by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Immunome Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Immunome's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Immunome's current price.

Immunome Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Immunome stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Immunome shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Immunome stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Immunome entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Immunome Risk Indicators

The analysis of Immunome's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Immunome's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immunome stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Immunome is a strong investment it is important to analyze Immunome's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Immunome's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Immunome Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Immunome to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Immunome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Immunome guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Immunome. If investors know Immunome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Immunome listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(7.94)
Revenue Per Share
0.189
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Return On Assets
(0.40)
Return On Equity
(2.76)
The market value of Immunome is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Immunome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Immunome's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Immunome's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Immunome's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Immunome's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Immunome's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Immunome is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Immunome's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.