Impact Growth Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

IMPACT Stock  THB 10.90  0.10  0.91%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Impact Growth REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.37. Impact Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Impact Growth stock prices and determine the direction of Impact Growth REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Impact Growth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Impact Growth REIT is based on a synthetically constructed Impact Growthdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Impact Growth 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Impact Growth REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impact Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impact Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impact Growth Stock Forecast Pattern

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Impact Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impact Growth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impact Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.11 and 138.15, respectively. We have considered Impact Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.90
11.31
Expected Value
138.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impact Growth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impact Growth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.5804
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2776
MADMean absolute deviation0.3749
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0325
SAESum of the absolute errors15.37
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Impact Growth REIT 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Impact Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impact Growth REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Impact Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5510.901,101
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.387.501,098
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6411.1211.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Impact Growth

For every potential investor in Impact, whether a beginner or expert, Impact Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impact Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impact Growth's price trends.

Impact Growth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impact Growth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impact Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impact Growth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impact Growth REIT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Impact Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Impact Growth's current price.

Impact Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impact Growth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impact Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impact Growth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impact Growth REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impact Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impact Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impact Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impact stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Impact Stock

Impact Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impact Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impact with respect to the benefits of owning Impact Growth security.