Immuneering Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IMRX Stock  USD 2.09  0.04  1.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Immuneering Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.53. Immuneering Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 24.12 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.34 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 29.1 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (43.2 M).
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Immuneering Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
59.4 M
Current Value
56.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
24 M
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for Immuneering Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Immuneering Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Immuneering Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Immuneering Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Immuneering Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Immuneering Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Immuneering Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Immuneering Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Immuneering Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Immuneering Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 12.54, respectively. We have considered Immuneering Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.09
2.29
Expected Value
12.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Immuneering Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Immuneering Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8291
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1398
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.07
SAESum of the absolute errors8.5277
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Immuneering Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Immuneering Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Immuneering Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immuneering Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8412.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.326.3716.63
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.5519.2921.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.51-0.45-0.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Immuneering Corp

For every potential investor in Immuneering, whether a beginner or expert, Immuneering Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Immuneering Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Immuneering. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Immuneering Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Immuneering Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Immuneering Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Immuneering Corp's current price.

Immuneering Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Immuneering Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Immuneering Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Immuneering Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Immuneering Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Immuneering Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Immuneering Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Immuneering Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immuneering stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Immuneering Stock Analysis

When running Immuneering Corp's price analysis, check to measure Immuneering Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immuneering Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Immuneering Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immuneering Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immuneering Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immuneering Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.