IMAX China Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

IMXCF Stock  USD 1.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IMAX China Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12. IMAX Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IMAX China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for IMAX China - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When IMAX China prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in IMAX China price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of IMAX China Holding.

IMAX China Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IMAX China Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000078, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IMAX Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IMAX China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IMAX China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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IMAX China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IMAX China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IMAX China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.18 and 1.82, respectively. We have considered IMAX China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.00
1.00
Expected Value
1.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IMAX China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IMAX China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.002
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.002
SAESum of the absolute errors0.12
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past IMAX China observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older IMAX China Holding observations.

Predictive Modules for IMAX China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMAX China Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IMAX China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.181.001.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.201.021.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IMAX China

For every potential investor in IMAX, whether a beginner or expert, IMAX China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IMAX Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IMAX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IMAX China's price trends.

IMAX China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IMAX China pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IMAX China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IMAX China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IMAX China Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IMAX China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IMAX China's current price.

IMAX China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IMAX China pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IMAX China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IMAX China pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify IMAX China Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IMAX China Risk Indicators

The analysis of IMAX China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IMAX China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imax pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in IMAX Pink Sheet

IMAX China financial ratios help investors to determine whether IMAX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IMAX with respect to the benefits of owning IMAX China security.