Imerys SA OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IMYSF Stock | USD 30.49 0.84 2.83% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imerys SA on the next trading day is expected to be 28.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.09. Imerys OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Imerys SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Imerys SA's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Imerys SA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Imerys SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Imerys SA from the perspective of Imerys SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imerys SA on the next trading day is expected to be 28.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.09. Imerys SA after-hype prediction price | USD 30.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Imerys |
Imerys SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Imerys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imerys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Imerys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Imerys SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imerys SA on the next trading day is expected to be 28.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03, mean absolute percentage error of 1.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imerys OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imerys SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Imerys SA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Imerys SA | Imerys SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Imerys SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Imerys SA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imerys SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.49 and 31.71, respectively. We have considered Imerys SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imerys SA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imerys SA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7284 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0342 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0347 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 63.0862 |
Predictive Modules for Imerys SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imerys SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Imerys SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Imerys SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Imerys SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Imerys SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Imerys SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Imerys SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Imerys SA's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Imerys SA's historical news coverage. Imerys SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.38 and 33.60, respectively. We have considered Imerys SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Imerys SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Imerys SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Imerys SA OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Imerys SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Imerys SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Imerys SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.11 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.49 | 30.49 | 0.00 |
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Imerys SA Hype Timeline
Imerys SA is currently traded for 30.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.13. Imerys is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Imerys SA is about 297.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.36. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Imerys SA last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imerys SA to cross-verify your projections.Imerys SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Imerys SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Imerys SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Imerys SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Imerys SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PITPF | PT Indocement Tunggal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| THYCF | Taiheiyo Cement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.72 | (0.43) | 9.80 | |
| FRCEF | Fletcher Building Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.30 | |
| IIDDY | IGO Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 8.42 | 0.00 | 42.97 | |
| KPLUF | KS AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 2.94 | 0.00 | 7.21 | |
| GCWOF | Grupo Cementos de | (10.45) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 2.87 | 0.00 | 19.06 | |
| IPGDF | IGO Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.23 | 8.43 | (3.25) | 26.48 | |
| NICMF | Nickel Mines Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.15 | 8.06 | (4.69) | 18.28 | |
| LINRF | Liontown Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.33 | 0.18 | 14.50 | (8.25) | 38.01 | |
| APEMY | Aperam PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.11 | 4.16 | (1.38) | 8.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Imerys SA
For every potential investor in Imerys, whether a beginner or expert, Imerys SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imerys OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imerys. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imerys SA's price trends.Imerys SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imerys SA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imerys SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imerys SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Imerys SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imerys SA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imerys SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imerys SA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imerys SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 30.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 30.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.42 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.84 |
Imerys SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Imerys SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imerys SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imerys otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.775 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Imerys SA
The number of cover stories for Imerys SA depends on current market conditions and Imerys SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Imerys SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Imerys SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Imerys OTC Stock
Imerys SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imerys OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imerys with respect to the benefits of owning Imerys SA security.