In8bio Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

INAB Stock  USD 0.32  0.01  3.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of In8bio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74. In8bio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast In8bio stock prices and determine the direction of In8bio Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of In8bio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 2.84, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.12. . As of November 23, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 21 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (13.8 M).

In8bio Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the In8bio's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
21.3 M
Current Value
18.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for In8bio is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of In8bio Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

In8bio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of In8bio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict In8bio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that In8bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

In8bio Stock Forecast Pattern

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In8bio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting In8bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. In8bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.63, respectively. We have considered In8bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.32
0.28
Expected Value
12.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of In8bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent In8bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6734
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0919
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7401
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of In8bio Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict In8bio. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for In8bio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as In8bio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3212.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4815.83
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as In8bio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against In8bio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, In8bio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in In8bio Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for In8bio

For every potential investor in In8bio, whether a beginner or expert, In8bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. In8bio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in In8bio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying In8bio's price trends.

View In8bio Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

In8bio Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of In8bio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of In8bio's current price.

In8bio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how In8bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading In8bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying In8bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify In8bio Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

In8bio Risk Indicators

The analysis of In8bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in In8bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting in8bio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether In8bio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of In8bio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of In8bio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on In8bio Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of In8bio to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of In8bio. If investors know In8bio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about In8bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.74)
Return On Assets
(0.78)
Return On Equity
(1.80)
The market value of In8bio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of In8bio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of In8bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is In8bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because In8bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect In8bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between In8bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if In8bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, In8bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.