Intanwijaya Internasional Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Intanwijaya Internasional - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Intanwijaya Internasional prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Intanwijaya Internasional price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Intanwijaya Internasional.

Intanwijaya Internasional Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 575.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.05, mean absolute percentage error of 58.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 297.77.

Intanwijaya Internasional Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intanwijaya Internasional Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intanwijaya Internasional stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intanwijaya Internasional stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Intanwijaya Internasional observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk observations.

Predictive Modules for Intanwijaya Internasional

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intanwijaya Internasional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 573.58 575.00 576.42 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 520.58 522.00 632.50 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intanwijaya Internasional

For every potential investor in Intanwijaya, whether a beginner or expert, Intanwijaya Internasional's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intanwijaya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intanwijaya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intanwijaya Internasional's price trends.

Intanwijaya Internasional Related Equities

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Correlation

Intanwijaya Internasional Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intanwijaya Internasional's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intanwijaya Internasional's current price.

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