Columbia India Etf Forecast - Simple Regression

INCO Etf  USD 67.92  0.99  1.48%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Columbia India Consumer on the next trading day is expected to be 66.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.96. Columbia Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Columbia India price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Columbia India Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Columbia India Consumer on the next trading day is expected to be 66.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 3.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Columbia Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Columbia India's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Columbia India Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Columbia IndiaColumbia India Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Columbia India Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Columbia India's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Columbia India's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.98 and 67.65, respectively. We have considered Columbia India's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.92
66.81
Expected Value
67.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia India etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia India etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3507
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4911
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors90.9551
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Columbia India Consumer historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Columbia India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia India Consumer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.1367.9768.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.1369.0169.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
66.6667.5968.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Columbia India

For every potential investor in Columbia, whether a beginner or expert, Columbia India's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Columbia Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Columbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Columbia India's price trends.

Columbia India Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Columbia India etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Columbia India could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Columbia India by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Columbia India Consumer Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Columbia India's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Columbia India's current price.

Columbia India Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Columbia India etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Columbia India shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Columbia India etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Columbia India Consumer entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Columbia India Risk Indicators

The analysis of Columbia India's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Columbia India's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting columbia etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Columbia India

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Columbia India position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Columbia India will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Columbia Etf

  0.99INDA iShares MSCI IndiaPairCorr
  0.97EPI WisdomTree India EarningsPairCorr
  0.93INDSX Financial Investors TrustPairCorr
  0.91SMIN iShares MSCI IndiaPairCorr
  0.98PIN Invesco India ETFPairCorr

Moving against Columbia Etf

  0.83IXSE IXSEPairCorr
  0.81BTC Grayscale Bitcoin MiniPairCorr
  0.72SHLD Global X FundsPairCorr
  0.66WINN Harbor Long TermPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Columbia India could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Columbia India when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Columbia India - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Columbia India Consumer to buy it.
The correlation of Columbia India is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Columbia India moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Columbia India Consumer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Columbia India can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Columbia India Consumer offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Columbia India's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Columbia India Consumer Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Columbia India Consumer Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Columbia India to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
The market value of Columbia India Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Columbia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Columbia India's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Columbia India's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Columbia India's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Columbia India's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia India's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia India is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia India's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.