Columbia Diversified Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Columbia Diversified Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Columbia Diversified simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Columbia Diversified Equity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Columbia Diversified prices get older.

Columbia Diversified Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Diversified Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 18.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.12.

Columbia Diversified Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Columbia Diversified

Columbia Diversified Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Columbia Diversified Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Diversified mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Diversified mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Columbia Diversified Equity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Columbia Diversified observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Columbia Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Diversified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 16.29 17.47 20.56 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 18.63 19.81 20.99 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 16.61 18.00 19.38 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Diversified. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Diversified's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Diversified's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Diversified.

Columbia Diversified After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Columbia Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Columbia Diversified Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Columbia Diversified Hype Timeline

Columbia Diversified is currently traded for 18.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.57. Columbia is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 20.31%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -6.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Diversified is about 43.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.12. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Columbia Diversified to cross-verify your projections.

Columbia Diversified Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Columbia Diversified

For every potential investor in Columbia, whether a beginner or expert, Columbia Diversified's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Columbia Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Columbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Columbia Diversified's price trends.

Columbia Diversified Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Columbia Diversified Market Strength Events

Columbia Diversified Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Columbia Diversified

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund