InfuSystems Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

INFU Stock  USD 8.51  0.14  1.62%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InfuSystems Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74. InfuSystems Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of InfuSystems Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of InfuSystems Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with InfuSystems Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting InfuSystems Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.375
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.06
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.29
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.412
Wall Street Target Price
14.2
Using InfuSystems Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of InfuSystems Holdings from the perspective of InfuSystems Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards InfuSystems Holdings using InfuSystems Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards InfuSystems using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of InfuSystems Holdings' stock price.

InfuSystems Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  1.52  
InfuSystems Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of InfuSystems Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if InfuSystems Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that InfuSystems Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when InfuSystems Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InfuSystems Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.

InfuSystems Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InfuSystems Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy InfuSystems Stock please use our How to Invest in InfuSystems Holdings guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current InfuSystems contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that InfuSystems Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.095% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With InfuSystems Holdings trading at USD 8.51, that is roughly USD 0.008085 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating InfuSystems Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring InfuSystems Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 InfuSystems Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast InfuSystems Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in InfuSystems Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for InfuSystems Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current InfuSystems Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to InfuSystems Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of InfuSystems Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in InfuSystems. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

InfuSystems Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine InfuSystems price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for InfuSystems using various technical indicators. When you analyze InfuSystems charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for InfuSystems Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

InfuSystems Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InfuSystems Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InfuSystems Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InfuSystems Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InfuSystems Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InfuSystems HoldingsInfuSystems Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InfuSystems Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InfuSystems Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InfuSystems Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.68 and 11.47, respectively. We have considered InfuSystems Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.51
8.58
Expected Value
11.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InfuSystems Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InfuSystems Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8062
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0445
MADMean absolute deviation0.1991
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors11.745
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of InfuSystems Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of InfuSystems Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for InfuSystems Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InfuSystems Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.648.5511.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.1410.0512.96
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.9214.2015.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as InfuSystems Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against InfuSystems Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, InfuSystems Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in InfuSystems Holdings.

InfuSystems Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of InfuSystems Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in InfuSystems Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of InfuSystems Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

InfuSystems Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting InfuSystems Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on InfuSystems Holdings' historical news coverage. InfuSystems Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.64 and 11.46, respectively. We have considered InfuSystems Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.51
8.55
After-hype Price
11.46
Upside
InfuSystems Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of InfuSystems Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

InfuSystems Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as InfuSystems Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading InfuSystems Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with InfuSystems Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
2.89
  0.05 
  0.02 
7 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.51
8.55
0.47 
1,314  
Notes

InfuSystems Holdings Hype Timeline

InfuSystems Holdings is currently traded for 8.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. InfuSystems is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on InfuSystems Holdings is about 2627.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.53. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 134.86 M. Net Income was 2.35 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.08 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InfuSystems Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy InfuSystems Stock please use our How to Invest in InfuSystems Holdings guide.

InfuSystems Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to InfuSystems Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict InfuSystems Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how InfuSystems Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how InfuSystems Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UTMDUtah Medical Products 1.03 6 per month 1.06 (0.02) 2.29 (1.98) 4.87 
OSUROraSure Technologies 0.05 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.98 (3.75) 13.27 
NYXHNyxoah 0.23 10 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.44 (5.59) 18.99 
KRMDRepro Med Systems(0.28)7 per month 2.20  0.13  7.41 (3.86) 21.18 
ELMDElectromed 0.85 8 per month 2.02  0.05  3.66 (4.10) 10.99 
HSDTHelius Medical Technologies(0.50)10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 11.52 (11.78) 27.63 
NNOXNano X Imaging(0.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 9.44 (6.06) 36.87 
STXSStereotaxis 0.06 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.69 (4.88) 18.81 
IVAInventiva Sa(0.25)7 per month 6.66  0.09  10.82 (6.48) 34.91 
OBIOOrchestra BioMed Holdings 0.02 9 per month 3.85  0.07  10.54 (6.20) 25.95 

Other Forecasting Options for InfuSystems Holdings

For every potential investor in InfuSystems, whether a beginner or expert, InfuSystems Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InfuSystems Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InfuSystems. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InfuSystems Holdings' price trends.

InfuSystems Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InfuSystems Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InfuSystems Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InfuSystems Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InfuSystems Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InfuSystems Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InfuSystems Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InfuSystems Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InfuSystems Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InfuSystems Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of InfuSystems Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InfuSystems Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting infusystems stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for InfuSystems Holdings

The number of cover stories for InfuSystems Holdings depends on current market conditions and InfuSystems Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that InfuSystems Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about InfuSystems Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

InfuSystems Holdings Short Properties

InfuSystems Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when InfuSystems Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of InfuSystems Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential InfuSystems Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InfuSystems Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments527 K

Additional Tools for InfuSystems Stock Analysis

When running InfuSystems Holdings' price analysis, check to measure InfuSystems Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InfuSystems Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of InfuSystems Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InfuSystems Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InfuSystems Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InfuSystems Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.