Summit Hotel Stock Forward View
| INN Stock | USD 4.47 0.03 0.67% |
Summit Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Summit Hotel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Summit Hotel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Summit Hotel fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Summit Hotel's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.50) | Wall Street Target Price 5.625 |
Using Summit Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Summit Hotel Properties from the perspective of Summit Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Summit Hotel using Summit Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Summit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Summit Hotel's stock price.
Summit Hotel Implied Volatility | 1.69 |
Summit Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Summit Hotel Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Summit Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Summit Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Summit Hotel's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Summit Hotel Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 4.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89. Summit Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 4.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Summit Hotel to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Summit Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Summit Hotel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Summit Hotel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Summit Hotel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Summit Hotel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Summit Hotel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Summit Hotel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Summit. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Summit Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Summit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Summit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Summit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Summit Hotel Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Summit Hotel's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2009-12-31 | Previous Quarter 39.5 M | Current Value 41.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 25.3 M |
Summit Hotel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Summit Hotel Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 4.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Summit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Summit Hotel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Summit Hotel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Summit Hotel | Summit Hotel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Summit Hotel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Summit Hotel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Summit Hotel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.37 and 6.87, respectively. We have considered Summit Hotel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Summit Hotel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Summit Hotel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.756 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.095 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0199 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.8896 |
Predictive Modules for Summit Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Summit Hotel Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Summit Hotel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Summit Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Summit Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Summit Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Summit Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Summit Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Summit Hotel's historical news coverage. Summit Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.22 and 6.72, respectively. We have considered Summit Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Summit Hotel is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Summit Hotel Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Summit Hotel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Summit Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Summit Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Summit Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 14 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.47 | 4.47 | 0.00 |
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Summit Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 18th of February 2026 Summit Hotel Properties is traded for 4.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Summit is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Summit Hotel is about 2884.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.48. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Summit Hotel Properties recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Summit Hotel to cross-verify your projections.Summit Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Summit Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Summit Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Summit Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Summit Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.93 | 0.10 | 1.86 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.90 | (3.72) | 15.16 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.44 | (3.02) | 11.70 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.17 | 2.44 | (1.69) | 5.11 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 1.97 | (1.86) | 5.50 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.68 | 0.11 | 3.31 | (2.24) | 9.71 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.13 | 2.36 | (2.16) | 8.51 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.12 | 2.05 | (1.56) | 5.05 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.12 | 2.22 | (2.32) | 33.48 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.02 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.09 | 3.16 | (2.48) | 7.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Summit Hotel
For every potential investor in Summit, whether a beginner or expert, Summit Hotel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Summit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Summit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Summit Hotel's price trends.Summit Hotel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Summit Hotel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Summit Hotel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Summit Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Summit Hotel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Summit Hotel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Summit Hotel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Summit Hotel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Summit Hotel Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17951.87 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
Summit Hotel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Summit Hotel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Summit Hotel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting summit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Summit Hotel
The number of cover stories for Summit Hotel depends on current market conditions and Summit Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Summit Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Summit Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Summit Hotel Short Properties
Summit Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Summit Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Summit Hotel Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Summit Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Summit Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Summit Hotel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Hotel & Resort REITs sector continue expanding? Could Summit diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Summit Hotel. Market participants price Summit higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Summit Hotel data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share (0.17) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
Understanding Summit Hotel Properties requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Summit's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Summit Hotel's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Summit Hotel's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Summit Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Summit Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Summit Hotel's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.