Intellego Technologies Stock Forward View
| INT Stock | 46.55 0.00 0.00% |
Intellego Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Intellego Technologies' share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intellego Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intellego Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intellego Technologies AB from the perspective of Intellego Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Intellego Technologies AB on the next trading day is expected to be 53.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 266.84. Intellego Technologies after-hype prediction price | SEK 46.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intellego |
Intellego Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intellego price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intellego using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intellego charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intellego Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Intellego Technologies AB on the next trading day is expected to be 53.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.37, mean absolute percentage error of 59.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 266.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intellego Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intellego Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intellego Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intellego Technologies | Intellego Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Intellego Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intellego Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intellego Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.39 and 61.52, respectively. We have considered Intellego Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intellego Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intellego Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1968 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3745 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0787 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 266.843 |
Predictive Modules for Intellego Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellego Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intellego Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intellego Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intellego Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intellego Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intellego Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intellego Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intellego Technologies' historical news coverage. Intellego Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.55 and 54.55, respectively. We have considered Intellego Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intellego Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intellego Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intellego Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intellego Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intellego Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intellego Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 8.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.55 | 46.55 | 0.00 |
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Intellego Technologies Hype Timeline
Intellego Technologies is currently traded for 46.55on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intellego is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intellego Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.55. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.28. Intellego Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intellego Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Intellego Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intellego Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intellego Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Intellego Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intellego Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCELL | Powercell Sweden | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.24 | (7.93) | 30.49 | |
| GREEN | Green Landscaping Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.22 | (3.79) | 13.14 | |
| FMM-B | FM Mattsson Mora | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.09 | 5.33 | (4.62) | 13.11 | |
| ABSO | Absolent Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.27 | (2.82) | 8.32 | |
| CTT | CTT Systems AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.84 | (2.35) | 9.07 | |
| GOMX | GomSpace Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.18 | 7.13 | (5.02) | 16.48 | |
| BMAX | Byggmax Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.14 | (0.01) | 2.34 | (1.87) | 17.38 | |
| SVIK | Studsvik AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.29 | 0.08 | 7.88 | (7.56) | 19.06 | |
| ELAN-B | Elanders AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | (0.02) | 3.92 | (3.36) | 12.52 | |
| EWRK | eWork Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.38 | (3.27) | 8.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intellego Technologies
For every potential investor in Intellego, whether a beginner or expert, Intellego Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intellego Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intellego. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intellego Technologies' price trends.Intellego Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intellego Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intellego Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intellego Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intellego Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intellego Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intellego Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intellego Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intellego Technologies AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intellego Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intellego Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intellego Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intellego stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.88 | |||
| Variance | 62.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intellego Technologies
The number of cover stories for Intellego Technologies depends on current market conditions and Intellego Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intellego Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intellego Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Intellego Technologies Short Properties
Intellego Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Intellego Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intellego Technologies AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intellego Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellego Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 18.4 M |
Additional Tools for Intellego Stock Analysis
When running Intellego Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Intellego Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intellego Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Intellego Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intellego Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intellego Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intellego Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.