Voya Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IOSAX Fund | USD 8.15 0.02 0.25% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Global Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83. Voya Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Voya Global's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Voya Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Voya Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Voya Global Bond from the perspective of Voya Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Global Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83. Voya Global after-hype prediction price | USD 8.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Voya |
Voya Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Voya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Voya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Voya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Voya Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Global Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Voya Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Voya Global | Voya Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Voya Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Voya Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.93 and 8.31, respectively. We have considered Voya Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9932 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8258 |
Predictive Modules for Voya Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Global Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Voya Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Voya Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Voya Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Voya Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Voya Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Voya Global's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Voya Global's historical news coverage. Voya Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.96 and 8.34, respectively. We have considered Voya Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Voya Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Voya Global Bond is based on 3 months time horizon.
Voya Global Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Voya Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Voya Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Voya Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.15 | 8.15 | 0.00 |
|
Voya Global Hype Timeline
Voya Global Bond is currently traded for 8.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Voya is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Voya Global is about 7.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.15. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Global to cross-verify your projections.Voya Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Voya Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Voya Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Voya Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Voya Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LMBMX | Qs Small Capitalization | (5.38) | 3 per month | 0.76 | 0.12 | 2.18 | (1.80) | 6.62 | |
| PMDDX | Small Midcap Dividend Income | (9.38) | 5 per month | 0.52 | 0.12 | 2.12 | (1.32) | 4.04 | |
| TVOYX | Touchstone Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.09 | 2.13 | (1.27) | 4.51 | |
| QSERX | Aqr Small Cap | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.81 | 0.14 | 2.18 | (2.05) | 10.51 | |
| PEVAX | Pace Smallmedium Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.13 | 2.29 | (1.17) | 4.68 | |
| BOSVX | Omni Small Cap Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.19 | 2.82 | (1.37) | 9.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Voya Global
For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Global's price trends.Voya Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Voya Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Global Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.22 |
Voya Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Voya Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1492 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1719 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1905 | |||
| Variance | 0.0363 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0478 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0295 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Voya Global
The number of cover stories for Voya Global depends on current market conditions and Voya Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Voya Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Voya Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Voya Mutual Fund
Voya Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Global security.
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities |