Ipek Dogal Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IPEKE Stock | TRY 52.55 1.40 2.74% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ipek Dogal Enerji on the next trading day is expected to be 52.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.89. Ipek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ipek Dogal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Ipek Dogal Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ipek Dogal Enerji on the next trading day is expected to be 52.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ipek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ipek Dogal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ipek Dogal Stock Forecast Pattern
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Ipek Dogal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ipek Dogal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ipek Dogal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.47 and 55.63, respectively. We have considered Ipek Dogal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ipek Dogal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ipek Dogal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5939 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8834 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0218 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.89 |
Predictive Modules for Ipek Dogal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ipek Dogal Enerji. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ipek Dogal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Ipek Dogal
For every potential investor in Ipek, whether a beginner or expert, Ipek Dogal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ipek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ipek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ipek Dogal's price trends.Ipek Dogal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ipek Dogal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ipek Dogal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ipek Dogal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ipek Dogal Enerji Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ipek Dogal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ipek Dogal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ipek Dogal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ipek Dogal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ipek Dogal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ipek Dogal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ipek Dogal Enerji entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3457 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.4 |
Ipek Dogal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ipek Dogal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ipek Dogal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ipek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Variance | 9.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Ipek Stock
Ipek Dogal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ipek Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ipek with respect to the benefits of owning Ipek Dogal security.