Intelligent Protection Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| IPM Stock | 1.77 0.03 1.67% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intelligent Protection Management on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.58. Intelligent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Intelligent Protection's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Intelligent Protection's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intelligent Protection fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Intelligent Protection's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 6.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 21.649 |
Using Intelligent Protection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intelligent Protection Management from the perspective of Intelligent Protection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intelligent Protection Management on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.58. Intelligent Protection after-hype prediction price | USD 1.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Intelligent Protection Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intelligent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intelligent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intelligent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intelligent Protection Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intelligent Protection Management on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intelligent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intelligent Protection's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intelligent Protection Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intelligent Protection | Intelligent Protection Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Intelligent Protection Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intelligent Protection's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intelligent Protection's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 3.49, respectively. We have considered Intelligent Protection's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intelligent Protection stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intelligent Protection stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0048 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0264 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.5812 |
Predictive Modules for Intelligent Protection
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intelligent Protection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intelligent Protection After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intelligent Protection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intelligent Protection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intelligent Protection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intelligent Protection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intelligent Protection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intelligent Protection's historical news coverage. Intelligent Protection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.47, respectively. We have considered Intelligent Protection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intelligent Protection is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intelligent Protection is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intelligent Protection Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intelligent Protection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intelligent Protection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intelligent Protection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.73 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.77 | 1.74 | 1.69 |
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Intelligent Protection Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Intelligent Protection is traded for 1.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Intelligent is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Intelligent Protection is about 7521.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.76. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Intelligent Protection recorded a loss per share of 0.27. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:35 split on the 6th of January 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intelligent Protection to cross-verify your projections.Intelligent Protection Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intelligent Protection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intelligent Protection's future price movements. Getting to know how Intelligent Protection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intelligent Protection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTCR | HeartCore Enterprises | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.52 | (11.90) | 37.69 | |
| CNTM | ConnectM Technology Solutions | 0.02 | 2 per month | 9.41 | 0.06 | 22.73 | (15.38) | 54.57 | |
| RMSG | Real Messenger | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.13 | (11.40) | 35.33 | |
| CXAI | CXApp Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 8.11 | (10.87) | 36.84 | |
| STEC | Santech Holdings Limited | 0.01 | 8 per month | 5.46 | 0.05 | 14.44 | (9.37) | 48.33 | |
| NXPL | Nextplat Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 4.89 | 0.01 | 8.33 | (8.16) | 28.43 | |
| WCT | Wellchange Holdings | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.56 | (7.41) | 29.28 | |
| SMSI | Smith Micro Software | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.56 | (6.35) | 19.70 | |
| AMST | Amesite Operating Co | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.82 | (8.49) | 30.71 | |
| BLIN | Bridgeline Digital | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.10 | (7.78) | 22.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intelligent Protection
For every potential investor in Intelligent, whether a beginner or expert, Intelligent Protection's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intelligent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intelligent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intelligent Protection's price trends.Intelligent Protection Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intelligent Protection stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intelligent Protection could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intelligent Protection by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intelligent Protection Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intelligent Protection stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intelligent Protection shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intelligent Protection stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intelligent Protection Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2148.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
Intelligent Protection Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intelligent Protection's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intelligent Protection's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intelligent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intelligent Protection
The number of cover stories for Intelligent Protection depends on current market conditions and Intelligent Protection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intelligent Protection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intelligent Protection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intelligent Protection Short Properties
Intelligent Protection's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intelligent Protection's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intelligent Protection Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intelligent Protection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intelligent Protection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intelligent Protection to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intelligent Protection. If investors know Intelligent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intelligent Protection listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 21.649 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Intelligent Protection is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intelligent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intelligent Protection's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intelligent Protection's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intelligent Protection's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intelligent Protection's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intelligent Protection's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intelligent Protection is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intelligent Protection's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.