Indopoly Swakarsa Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| IPOL Stock | IDR 119.00 1.00 0.85% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 118.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.41. Indopoly Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Indopoly |
Indopoly Swakarsa Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 118.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 5.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indopoly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indopoly Swakarsa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Indopoly Swakarsa Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Indopoly Swakarsa | Indopoly Swakarsa Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Indopoly Swakarsa Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Indopoly Swakarsa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indopoly Swakarsa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 115.97 and 120.23, respectively. We have considered Indopoly Swakarsa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indopoly Swakarsa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indopoly Swakarsa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1636 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5832 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.4083 |
Predictive Modules for Indopoly Swakarsa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indopoly Swakarsa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Indopoly Swakarsa
For every potential investor in Indopoly, whether a beginner or expert, Indopoly Swakarsa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indopoly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indopoly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indopoly Swakarsa's price trends.Indopoly Swakarsa Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indopoly Swakarsa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indopoly Swakarsa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indopoly Swakarsa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Indopoly Swakarsa Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indopoly Swakarsa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indopoly Swakarsa's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Indopoly Swakarsa Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indopoly Swakarsa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indopoly Swakarsa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indopoly Swakarsa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indopoly Swakarsa Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Indopoly Swakarsa Risk Indicators
The analysis of Indopoly Swakarsa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indopoly Swakarsa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indopoly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Indopoly Swakarsa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indopoly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indopoly with respect to the benefits of owning Indopoly Swakarsa security.