Ideal Power Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IPWR Stock | USD 4.01 0.20 5.25% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ideal Power on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35. Ideal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Ideal Power's share price is at 50. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ideal Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ideal Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ideal Power from the perspective of Ideal Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ideal Power on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35. Ideal Power after-hype prediction price | USD 4.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ideal Power to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Ideal Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ideal Power guide.Ideal Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ideal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ideal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ideal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ideal Power Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ideal Power on the next trading day is expected to be 3.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ideal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ideal Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ideal Power Stock Forecast Pattern
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Ideal Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ideal Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ideal Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.51, respectively. We have considered Ideal Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ideal Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ideal Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6761 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0337 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1892 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0492 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.3498 |
Predictive Modules for Ideal Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ideal Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ideal Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ideal Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ideal Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ideal Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ideal Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ideal Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ideal Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ideal Power's historical news coverage. Ideal Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 10.55, respectively. We have considered Ideal Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ideal Power is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ideal Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ideal Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ideal Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ideal Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ideal Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 6.54 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.01 | 4.01 | 0.00 |
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Ideal Power Hype Timeline
Ideal Power is currently traded for 4.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Ideal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ideal Power is about 8074.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.98. About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ideal Power was currently reported as 1.5. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.22. Ideal Power last dividend was issued on the 20th of August 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 20th of August 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ideal Power to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Ideal Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ideal Power guide.Ideal Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ideal Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ideal Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Ideal Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ideal Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 9.87 | (16.54) | 35.25 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | (0.27) | 3 per month | 2.37 | 0.10 | 5.43 | (3.64) | 17.85 | |
| GWH | ESS Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.91 | (9.24) | 61.03 | |
| NEOV | NeoVolta Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.19 | 0.09 | 11.55 | (7.96) | 36.65 | |
| OESX | Orion Energy Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.55 | 0.16 | 14.72 | (7.43) | 39.21 | |
| APWC | Asia Pacific Wire | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.08 | (4.23) | 14.43 | |
| CLIR | ClearSign Combustion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.20 | (9.33) | 37.67 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.93 | 0.04 | 8.30 | (6.90) | 20.00 | |
| SDST | Stardust Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.54 | (0.01) | 8.84 | (9.77) | 26.43 | |
| STI | Solidion Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 15.82 | (10.75) | 34.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ideal Power
For every potential investor in Ideal, whether a beginner or expert, Ideal Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ideal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ideal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ideal Power's price trends.Ideal Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ideal Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ideal Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ideal Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ideal Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ideal Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ideal Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ideal Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ideal Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ideal Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ideal Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ideal Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ideal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.54 | |||
| Variance | 42.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ideal Power
The number of cover stories for Ideal Power depends on current market conditions and Ideal Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ideal Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ideal Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ideal Power Short Properties
Ideal Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ideal Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ideal Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ideal Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ideal Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.8 M |
Additional Tools for Ideal Stock Analysis
When running Ideal Power's price analysis, check to measure Ideal Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ideal Power is operating at the current time. Most of Ideal Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ideal Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ideal Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ideal Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.