Inpex Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

IPXHY Stock  USD 13.05  0.17  1.32%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inpex Corp ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 13.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.54. Inpex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Inpex Corp - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Inpex Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Inpex Corp price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Inpex Corp ADR.

Inpex Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inpex Corp ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 13.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inpex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inpex Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Inpex Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Inpex CorpInpex Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Inpex Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Inpex Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inpex Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.29 and 14.80, respectively. We have considered Inpex Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.05
13.05
Expected Value
14.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inpex Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inpex Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0318
MADMean absolute deviation0.2125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors12.5353
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Inpex Corp observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Inpex Corp ADR observations.

Predictive Modules for Inpex Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inpex Corp ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2913.0514.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6813.4415.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.8312.9913.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inpex Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inpex Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inpex Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inpex Corp ADR.

Other Forecasting Options for Inpex Corp

For every potential investor in Inpex, whether a beginner or expert, Inpex Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inpex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inpex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inpex Corp's price trends.

View Inpex Corp Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Inpex Corp ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Inpex Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Inpex Corp's current price.

Inpex Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inpex Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inpex Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inpex Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Inpex Corp ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Inpex Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Inpex Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inpex Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inpex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Inpex Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Inpex Corp's price analysis, check to measure Inpex Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inpex Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Inpex Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inpex Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inpex Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inpex Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.