CI International Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

IQD Etf  CAD 34.88  0.24  0.69%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CI International Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 34.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.41. IQD Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for CI International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

CI International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CI International Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 34.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IQD Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CI International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CI International Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest CI InternationalCI International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CI International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CI International's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CI International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.27 and 35.64, respectively. We have considered CI International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.88
34.95
Expected Value
35.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CI International etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CI International etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0283
MADMean absolute deviation0.2104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4117
When CI International Quality prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any CI International Quality trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent CI International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CI International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI International Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.1934.8835.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0734.7635.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.4834.4035.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CI International

For every potential investor in IQD, whether a beginner or expert, CI International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IQD Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IQD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CI International's price trends.

CI International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CI International etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CI International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CI International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CI International Quality Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CI International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CI International's current price.

CI International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CI International etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CI International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CI International etf market strength indicators, traders can identify CI International Quality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CI International Risk Indicators

The analysis of CI International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CI International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iqd etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in IQD Etf

CI International financial ratios help investors to determine whether IQD Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IQD with respect to the benefits of owning CI International security.