IShares Managed Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average

ISMF Etf   27.06  0.80  2.87%   
IShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IShares Managed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares Managed's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares Managed, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IShares Managed's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IShares Managed and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IShares Managed's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iShares Managed Futures, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IShares Managed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Managed Futures from the perspective of IShares Managed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iShares Managed Futures on the next trading day is expected to be 27.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.45.

IShares Managed after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out fundamental analysis of IShares Managed to check your projections.

IShares Managed Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for IShares Managed is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

IShares Managed Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iShares Managed Futures on the next trading day is expected to be 27.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares Managed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IShares Managed Etf Forecast Pattern

IShares Managed Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IShares Managed's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares Managed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.41 and 27.71, respectively. We have considered IShares Managed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.06
27.06
Expected Value
27.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares Managed etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares Managed etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2082
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.05
MADMean absolute deviation0.1432
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors8.45
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of iShares Managed Futures price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of IShares Managed. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for IShares Managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Managed Futures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3326.9827.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7827.4328.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.2727.1928.12
Details

IShares Managed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of IShares Managed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares Managed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares Managed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IShares Managed Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares Managed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares Managed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares Managed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
0.65
  0.08 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.06
26.98
0.30 
104.84  
Notes

IShares Managed Hype Timeline

iShares Managed Futures is currently traded for 27.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. IShares is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 104.84%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on IShares Managed is about 3656.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be very soon.
Check out fundamental analysis of IShares Managed to check your projections.

IShares Managed Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IShares Managed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares Managed's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares Managed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares Managed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HFDGA Core Plus(0.05)7 per month 0.31 (0.06) 0.43 (0.62) 1.28 
DRAIDraco Evolution AI(0.18)2 per month 0.83 (0.06) 1.07 (1.45) 3.35 
VIXMProShares VIX Mid Term 0.57 15 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.40 (1.81) 5.67 
VIXYProShares VIX Short Term(0.28)5 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.09 (5.10) 20.38 
NELSNelson Select ETF(0.03)2 per month 0.92 (0.03) 1.19 (1.39) 4.02 
FAARFirst Trust Alternative(0.11)2 per month 0.70  0.07  1.27 (1.18) 2.53 
FARXThe Advisors Inner 0.07 1 per month 0.47  0.06  0.79 (0.76) 1.98 
WTMFWisdomTree Managed Futures 0.17 1 per month 0.71 (0.06) 0.82 (0.90) 2.69 
FFUTFidelity Managed Futures 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.06  0.92 (0.93) 4.78 

Other Forecasting Options for IShares Managed

For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares Managed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares Managed's price trends.

IShares Managed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares Managed etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares Managed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares Managed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IShares Managed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares Managed etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares Managed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares Managed etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares Managed Futures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IShares Managed Risk Indicators

The analysis of IShares Managed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares Managed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IShares Managed

The number of cover stories for IShares Managed depends on current market conditions and IShares Managed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IShares Managed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IShares Managed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether iShares Managed Futures is a strong investment it is important to analyze IShares Managed's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IShares Managed's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out fundamental analysis of IShares Managed to check your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
iShares Managed Futures's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on IShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate IShares Managed's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since IShares Managed's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.