Amplify BlueStar Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ITEQ Etf | USD 62.48 0.45 0.73% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify BlueStar's etf price is slightly above 60. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify BlueStar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify BlueStar Israel from the perspective of Amplify BlueStar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplify BlueStar using Amplify BlueStar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplify BlueStar's stock price.
Amplify BlueStar Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Amplify BlueStar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplify BlueStar Israel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplify BlueStar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplify BlueStar stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplify BlueStar's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplify BlueStar Israel on the next trading day is expected to be 62.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.92. Amplify BlueStar after-hype prediction price | USD 62.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify BlueStar to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amplify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amplify BlueStar Israel will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Amplify BlueStar trading at USD 62.48, that is roughly USD 0.016 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amplify BlueStar's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amplify BlueStar Israel options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amplify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amplify BlueStar's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amplify BlueStar's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amplify BlueStar stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amplify BlueStar's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amplify BlueStar's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amplify BlueStar is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amplify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amplify BlueStar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify BlueStar Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplify BlueStar Israel on the next trading day is expected to be 62.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify BlueStar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify BlueStar Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify BlueStar | Amplify BlueStar Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify BlueStar Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify BlueStar's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify BlueStar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.20 and 63.76, respectively. We have considered Amplify BlueStar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify BlueStar etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify BlueStar etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1082 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.108 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6766 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.92 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify BlueStar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify BlueStar Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amplify BlueStar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amplify BlueStar After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify BlueStar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify BlueStar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify BlueStar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify BlueStar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify BlueStar's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify BlueStar's historical news coverage. Amplify BlueStar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.21 and 63.75, respectively. We have considered Amplify BlueStar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify BlueStar is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify BlueStar Israel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify BlueStar Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify BlueStar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify BlueStar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify BlueStar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.28 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
62.48 | 62.48 | 0.00 |
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Amplify BlueStar Hype Timeline
Amplify BlueStar Israel is currently traded for 62.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amplify is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amplify BlueStar is about 7529.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.48. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify BlueStar to cross-verify your projections.Amplify BlueStar Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify BlueStar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify BlueStar's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify BlueStar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify BlueStar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACES | ALPS Clean Energy | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.04 | (0.01) | 2.90 | (2.83) | 10.69 | |
| YALL | God Bless America | 0.29 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.07 | (1.82) | 3.63 | |
| FEBT | AIM ETF Products | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.37 | (0.05) | 0.68 | (0.74) | 2.30 | |
| SIXO | AIM ETF Products | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.33 | (0.10) | 0.56 | (0.61) | 2.09 | |
| XSEP | FT Cboe Vest | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.24 | (0.16) | 0.46 | (0.55) | 1.59 | |
| TMFE | Motley Fool Capital | (0.24) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.20 | (1.29) | 3.25 | |
| SGLC | Rbb Fund | 0.12 | 3 per month | 0.89 | 0.03 | 1.61 | (1.59) | 4.67 | |
| SEPT | AIM ETF Products | 0.20 | 14 per month | 0.36 | (0.1) | 0.62 | (0.72) | 2.27 | |
| FDIF | Fidelity Disruptors ETF | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.93 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.74) | 4.28 | |
| FFND | The Future Fund | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.61 | (0.03) | 1.08 | (1.18) | 3.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify BlueStar
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify BlueStar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify BlueStar's price trends.Amplify BlueStar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify BlueStar etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify BlueStar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify BlueStar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify BlueStar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify BlueStar etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify BlueStar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify BlueStar etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify BlueStar Israel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify BlueStar Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify BlueStar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify BlueStar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify BlueStar
The number of cover stories for Amplify BlueStar depends on current market conditions and Amplify BlueStar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify BlueStar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify BlueStar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify BlueStar to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
The market value of Amplify BlueStar Israel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify BlueStar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify BlueStar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify BlueStar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify BlueStar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify BlueStar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify BlueStar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify BlueStar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.