VanEck Intermediate Etf Forward View
| ITM Etf | USD 47.44 0.06 0.13% |
VanEck Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Intermediate's etf price is about 63. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Intermediate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Intermediate Muni from the perspective of VanEck Intermediate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Intermediate using VanEck Intermediate's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Intermediate's stock price.
VanEck Intermediate Implied Volatility | 0.1 |
VanEck Intermediate's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Intermediate Muni stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Intermediate's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Intermediate stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Intermediate's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Intermediate Muni on the next trading day is expected to be 47.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.56. VanEck Intermediate after-hype prediction price | USD 47.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Intermediate to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck Intermediate Muni will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.00625% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VanEck Intermediate trading at USD 47.44, that is roughly USD 0.002965 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck Intermediate's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck Intermediate Muni options at the current volatility level of 0.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 VanEck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Intermediate's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Intermediate's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Intermediate stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Intermediate's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Intermediate's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Intermediate is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VanEck Intermediate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Intermediate Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Intermediate Muni on the next trading day is expected to be 47.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Intermediate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck Intermediate Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VanEck Intermediate | VanEck Intermediate Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VanEck Intermediate Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck Intermediate's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Intermediate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.30 and 47.57, respectively. We have considered VanEck Intermediate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Intermediate etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Intermediate etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6452 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0575 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5645 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Intermediate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Intermediate Muni. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Intermediate After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Intermediate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Intermediate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Intermediate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Intermediate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Intermediate's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Intermediate's historical news coverage. VanEck Intermediate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.31 and 47.57, respectively. We have considered VanEck Intermediate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Intermediate is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Intermediate Muni is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Intermediate Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Intermediate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Intermediate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Intermediate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.44 | 47.44 | 0.00 |
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VanEck Intermediate Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January VanEck Intermediate Muni is traded for 47.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. VanEck is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Intermediate is about 35.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.43. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Intermediate to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Intermediate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Intermediate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Intermediate's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Intermediate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Intermediate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLN | VanEck Long Muni | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.34 | (0.29) | 1.43 | |
| HYD | VanEck High Yield | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.13 | (0.25) | 0.27 | (0.24) | 1.22 | |
| PFXF | VanEck Preferred Securities | 0.62 | 25 per month | 0.46 | (0.01) | 0.94 | (0.91) | 2.34 | |
| GTO | Invesco Total Return | (1.54) | 12 per month | 0.14 | (0.32) | 0.26 | (0.30) | 0.68 | |
| SHYD | VanEck Short High | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.22 | (0.13) | 0.57 | |
| XOP | SPDR SP Oil | (3.76) | 4 per month | 1.32 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (1.96) | 6.37 | |
| XSMO | Invesco SP SmallCap | 0.53 | 4 per month | 1.02 | 0.01 | 1.89 | (1.74) | 4.31 | |
| FMB | First Trust Managed | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.18 | (0.22) | 0.59 | |
| QDF | FlexShares Quality Dividend | 0.62 | 1 per month | 0.68 | 0 | 1.14 | (1.13) | 3.63 | |
| VCMDX | Vanguard Commodity Strategy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.19 | 1.58 | (1.23) | 3.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Intermediate
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Intermediate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Intermediate's price trends.VanEck Intermediate Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Intermediate etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Intermediate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Intermediate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck Intermediate Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Intermediate etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Intermediate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Intermediate etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Intermediate Muni entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VanEck Intermediate Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Intermediate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Intermediate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1011 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1332 | |||
| Variance | 0.0177 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0214 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VanEck Intermediate
The number of cover stories for VanEck Intermediate depends on current market conditions and VanEck Intermediate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck Intermediate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck Intermediate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Intermediate to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
The market value of VanEck Intermediate Muni is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Intermediate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Intermediate's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because VanEck Intermediate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Intermediate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Intermediate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Intermediate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, VanEck Intermediate's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.