Itron Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ITRI Stock | USD 99.21 0.21 0.21% |
Itron Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Itron's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Itron's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Itron, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4573 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.8618 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9507 | Wall Street Target Price 138.4 |
Using Itron hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Itron Inc from the perspective of Itron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Itron using Itron's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Itron using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Itron's stock price.
Itron Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Itron's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Itron. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Itron stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 115.5032 | Short Percent 0.0944 | Short Ratio 4.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 97.11 |
Itron Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itron Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 99.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.50.Itron Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Itron's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Itron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Itron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Itron Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Itron's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Itron.
Itron Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Itron's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Itron Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Itron's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Itron stock will not fluctuate a lot when Itron's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itron Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 99.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.50. Itron after-hype prediction price | USD 99.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itron to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Itron contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Itron Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Itron trading at USD 99.21, that is roughly USD 0.0366 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Itron's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Itron Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Itron Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Itron's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Itron's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Itron stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Itron's open interest, investors have to compare it to Itron's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Itron is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Itron. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Itron Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Itron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Itron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Itron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Itron Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itron Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 99.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 3.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Itron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Itron's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Itron Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Itron | Itron Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Itron Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Itron's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Itron's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.45 and 100.97, respectively. We have considered Itron's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Itron stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Itron stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5462 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1383 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3983 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 82.5 |
Predictive Modules for Itron
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itron Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Itron After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Itron at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Itron or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Itron, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Itron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Itron's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Itron's historical news coverage. Itron's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.45 and 100.97, respectively. We have considered Itron's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Itron is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Itron Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Itron Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Itron is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Itron backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Itron, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
99.21 | 99.21 | 0.00 |
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Itron Hype Timeline
Itron Inc is currently traded for 99.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Itron is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 150.43%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Itron is about 134.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.21. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Itron was currently reported as 36.98. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. Itron Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.57. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itron to cross-verify your projections.Itron Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Itron's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Itron's future price movements. Getting to know how Itron's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Itron may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (0.37) | 9 per month | 2.29 | 0.04 | 4.86 | (3.74) | 20.11 | |
| BMI | Badger Meter | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.71 | (4.32) | 14.11 | |
| NOVT | Novanta | (8.75) | 11 per month | 3.96 | 0.06 | 7.35 | (4.57) | 27.31 | |
| VNT | Vontier Corp | (0.96) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.67 | (2.57) | 11.26 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | (0.38) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.08 | (3.30) | 9.43 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | (0.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.27 | (8.72) | 33.02 | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | 1.49 | 9 per month | 1.78 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (3.32) | 10.85 | |
| ST | Sensata Technologies Holding | 0.76 | 10 per month | 2.03 | 0.02 | 4.81 | (3.39) | 10.52 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (2.59) | 11 per month | 2.10 | 0.1 | 4.29 | (3.99) | 11.46 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (1.72) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Itron
For every potential investor in Itron, whether a beginner or expert, Itron's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Itron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Itron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Itron's price trends.Itron Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Itron stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Itron could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Itron by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Itron Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Itron stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Itron shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Itron stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Itron Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Itron Risk Indicators
The analysis of Itron's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Itron's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting itron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Variance | 10.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Itron
The number of cover stories for Itron depends on current market conditions and Itron's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Itron is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Itron's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Itron Short Properties
Itron's future price predictability will typically decrease when Itron's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Itron Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Itron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itron to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is there potential for Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components market expansion? Will Itron introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Itron. Market participants price Itron higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Itron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 5.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Itron Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Itron's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Itron's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Itron's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Itron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Itron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Itron's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.