IMPACT MIN Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IUB Stock  EUR 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
IMPACT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IMPACT MIN stock prices and determine the direction of IMPACT MIN's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IMPACT MIN's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of IMPACT MIN's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IMPACT MIN's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IMPACT MIN and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IMPACT MIN's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IMPACT MIN, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IMPACT MIN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IMPACT MIN from the perspective of IMPACT MIN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IMPACT MIN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.

IMPACT MIN after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IMPACT MIN to cross-verify your projections.

IMPACT MIN Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IMPACT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IMPACT using various technical indicators. When you analyze IMPACT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
IMPACT MIN simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for IMPACT MIN are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as IMPACT MIN prices get older.

IMPACT MIN Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IMPACT MIN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IMPACT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IMPACT MIN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IMPACT MIN Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IMPACT MIN  IMPACT MIN Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

IMPACT MIN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IMPACT MIN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IMPACT MIN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 8.06, respectively. We have considered IMPACT MIN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
8.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IMPACT MIN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IMPACT MIN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.1983
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation4.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0172
SAESum of the absolute errors0.023
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting IMPACT MIN forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IMPACT MIN observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IMPACT MIN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMPACT MIN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.037.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.027.98
Details

IMPACT MIN After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IMPACT MIN at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IMPACT MIN or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IMPACT MIN, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IMPACT MIN Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IMPACT MIN's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IMPACT MIN's historical news coverage. IMPACT MIN's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.99, respectively. We have considered IMPACT MIN's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
7.99
Upside
IMPACT MIN is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IMPACT MIN is based on 3 months time horizon.

IMPACT MIN Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IMPACT MIN is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IMPACT MIN backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IMPACT MIN, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.91 
8.03
 0.00  
  0.06 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
3.45 
0.00  
Notes

IMPACT MIN Hype Timeline

IMPACT MIN is currently traded for 0.03on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. IMPACT is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 3.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on IMPACT MIN is about 11896.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.03. IMPACT MIN has accumulated 901.26 K in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IMPACT MIN to cross-verify your projections.

IMPACT MIN Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IMPACT MIN's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IMPACT MIN's future price movements. Getting to know how IMPACT MIN's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IMPACT MIN may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for IMPACT MIN

For every potential investor in IMPACT, whether a beginner or expert, IMPACT MIN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IMPACT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IMPACT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IMPACT MIN's price trends.

IMPACT MIN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IMPACT MIN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IMPACT MIN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IMPACT MIN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IMPACT MIN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IMPACT MIN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IMPACT MIN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IMPACT MIN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IMPACT MIN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IMPACT MIN Risk Indicators

The analysis of IMPACT MIN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IMPACT MIN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impact stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IMPACT MIN

The number of cover stories for IMPACT MIN depends on current market conditions and IMPACT MIN's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IMPACT MIN is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IMPACT MIN's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in IMPACT Stock

IMPACT MIN financial ratios help investors to determine whether IMPACT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IMPACT with respect to the benefits of owning IMPACT MIN security.