Innovative Designs Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

IVDN Stock  USD 0.19  0.03  18.75%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Innovative Designs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.70. Innovative Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Innovative Designs is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Innovative Designs value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Innovative Designs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Innovative Designs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Innovative Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Innovative Designs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Innovative Designs Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Innovative Designs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Innovative Designs' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Innovative Designs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.11, respectively. We have considered Innovative Designs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.19
0.21
Expected Value
8.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Innovative Designs pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Innovative Designs pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.6391
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0115
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0547
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6985
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Innovative Designs. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Innovative Designs. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Innovative Designs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovative Designs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovative Designs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.138.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.168.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Innovative Designs

For every potential investor in Innovative, whether a beginner or expert, Innovative Designs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Innovative Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Innovative. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Innovative Designs' price trends.

Innovative Designs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Innovative Designs pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Innovative Designs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Innovative Designs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Innovative Designs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Innovative Designs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Innovative Designs' current price.

Innovative Designs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Innovative Designs pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Innovative Designs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Innovative Designs pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Innovative Designs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Innovative Designs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Innovative Designs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Innovative Designs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting innovative pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Innovative Pink Sheet

Innovative Designs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Innovative Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Innovative with respect to the benefits of owning Innovative Designs security.