Dan IVES Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| IVES Etf | USD 32.68 0.40 1.24% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dan IVES Wedbush on the next trading day is expected to be 31.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.63. Dan Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Dan IVES's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dan IVES, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dan IVES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dan IVES Wedbush from the perspective of Dan IVES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dan IVES using Dan IVES's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dan IVES's stock price.
Dan IVES Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
Dan IVES's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dan IVES Wedbush stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dan IVES's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dan IVES stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dan IVES's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dan IVES Wedbush on the next trading day is expected to be 31.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.63. Dan IVES after-hype prediction price | USD 32.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dan IVES to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dan IVES Wedbush will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Dan IVES trading at USD 32.68, that is roughly USD 0.006332 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dan IVES's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dan IVES Wedbush options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Dan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dan IVES's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dan IVES's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dan IVES stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dan IVES's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dan IVES's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dan IVES is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dan IVES Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dan IVES Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dan IVES Wedbush on the next trading day is expected to be 31.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dan Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dan IVES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dan IVES Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dan IVES | Dan IVES Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dan IVES Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dan IVES's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dan IVES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.27 and 33.51, respectively. We have considered Dan IVES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dan IVES etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dan IVES etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9277 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7843 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.6257 |
Predictive Modules for Dan IVES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dan IVES Wedbush. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dan IVES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dan IVES After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dan IVES at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dan IVES or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Dan IVES, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dan IVES Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dan IVES's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dan IVES's historical news coverage. Dan IVES's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.05 and 34.31, respectively. We have considered Dan IVES's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dan IVES is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dan IVES Wedbush is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dan IVES Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Dan IVES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dan IVES backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dan IVES, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.62 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.68 | 32.68 | 0.00 |
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Dan IVES Hype Timeline
Dan IVES Wedbush is currently traded for 32.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Dan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dan IVES is about 672.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.70. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dan IVES to cross-verify your projections.Dan IVES Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dan IVES's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dan IVES's future price movements. Getting to know how Dan IVES's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dan IVES may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHAT | Roundhill Generative AI | 0.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.75 | (3.44) | 7.99 | |
| JHMD | John Hancock Multifactor | (0.82) | 4 per month | 0.59 | 0.01 | 1.09 | (1.18) | 3.11 | |
| REZ | iShares Residential and | 0.39 | 2 per month | 0.97 | (0.1) | 1.42 | (1.44) | 3.38 | |
| SEIM | SEI Exchange Traded | 0.02 | 7 per month | 1.03 | (0.01) | 1.45 | (1.57) | 4.83 | |
| PLDR | Putnam Sustainable Leaders | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.77 | (0.08) | 1.18 | (1.13) | 3.83 | |
| POCT | Innovator SP 500 | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.32 | (0.17) | 0.58 | (0.60) | 1.93 | |
| ABFL | Abacus FCF Leaders | (0.27) | 2 per month | 1.03 | (0.06) | 1.31 | (1.88) | 4.33 | |
| PJUN | Innovator SP 500 | 0.98 | 2 per month | 0.12 | (0.25) | 0.50 | (0.41) | 1.18 | |
| THYF | T Rowe Price | (0.13) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.31 | (0.25) | 0.85 | |
| IETC | iShares Evolved Technology | 1.75 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.68 | (2.86) | 6.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dan IVES
For every potential investor in Dan, whether a beginner or expert, Dan IVES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dan Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dan IVES's price trends.Dan IVES Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dan IVES etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dan IVES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dan IVES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dan IVES Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dan IVES etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dan IVES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dan IVES etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Dan IVES Wedbush entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dan IVES Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dan IVES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dan IVES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dan etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dan IVES
The number of cover stories for Dan IVES depends on current market conditions and Dan IVES's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dan IVES is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dan IVES's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dan IVES to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
The market value of Dan IVES Wedbush is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dan IVES's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dan IVES's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dan IVES's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dan IVES's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dan IVES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dan IVES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dan IVES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.