IVH Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

IVH Etf  USD 11.18  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IVH on the next trading day is expected to be 10.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04. IVH Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IVH's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for IVH is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of IVH value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

IVH Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of IVH on the next trading day is expected to be 10.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IVH Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IVH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IVH Etf Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IVH etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IVH etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0827
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors5.0428
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of IVH. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict IVH. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for IVH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IVH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IVH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1811.1811.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1811.1811.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.2111.6512.09
Details

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

IVH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IVH etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IVH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IVH etf market strength indicators, traders can identify IVH entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether IVH offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IVH's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ivh Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ivh Etf:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
The market value of IVH is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IVH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IVH's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IVH's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IVH's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IVH's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IVH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IVH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IVH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.