Ivanhoe Mines OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IVPAF Stock  USD 11.67  0.21  1.83%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ivanhoe Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 11.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.85. Ivanhoe OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ivanhoe Mines' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Ivanhoe Mines' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ivanhoe Mines stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ivanhoe Mines shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ivanhoe Mines' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ivanhoe Mines and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ivanhoe Mines' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ivanhoe Mines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ivanhoe Mines based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Ivanhoe Mines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ivanhoe Mines from the perspective of Ivanhoe Mines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ivanhoe Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 11.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.85.

Ivanhoe Mines after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ivanhoe Mines to cross-verify your projections.

Ivanhoe Mines Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ivanhoe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ivanhoe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ivanhoe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Ivanhoe Mines is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ivanhoe Mines value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ivanhoe Mines Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ivanhoe Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 11.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ivanhoe OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ivanhoe Mines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ivanhoe Mines OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ivanhoe MinesIvanhoe Mines Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ivanhoe Mines Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ivanhoe Mines' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ivanhoe Mines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.63 and 15.34, respectively. We have considered Ivanhoe Mines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.67
11.98
Expected Value
15.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ivanhoe Mines otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ivanhoe Mines otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5725
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3746
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0368
SAESum of the absolute errors22.8488
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ivanhoe Mines. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ivanhoe Mines. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ivanhoe Mines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ivanhoe Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3211.6715.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.779.1212.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.6610.5912.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ivanhoe Mines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ivanhoe Mines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ivanhoe Mines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ivanhoe Mines.

Other Forecasting Options for Ivanhoe Mines

For every potential investor in Ivanhoe, whether a beginner or expert, Ivanhoe Mines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ivanhoe OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ivanhoe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ivanhoe Mines' price trends.

View Ivanhoe Mines Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ivanhoe Mines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ivanhoe Mines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ivanhoe Mines' current price.

Ivanhoe Mines Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ivanhoe Mines otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ivanhoe Mines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ivanhoe Mines otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ivanhoe Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ivanhoe Mines Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ivanhoe Mines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ivanhoe Mines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ivanhoe otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Ivanhoe OTC Stock

Ivanhoe Mines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ivanhoe OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ivanhoe with respect to the benefits of owning Ivanhoe Mines security.