NEOS Russell Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| IWMI Etf | 50.07 0.38 0.75% |
NEOS Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NEOS Russell's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of NEOS Russell's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NEOS Russell, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NEOS Russell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NEOS Russell 2000 from the perspective of NEOS Russell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NEOS Russell using NEOS Russell's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NEOS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NEOS Russell's stock price.
NEOS Russell Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
NEOS Russell's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NEOS Russell 2000 stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NEOS Russell's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NEOS Russell stock will not fluctuate a lot when NEOS Russell's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NEOS Russell 2000 on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.44. NEOS Russell after-hype prediction price | USD 50.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Russell to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NEOS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NEOS Russell 2000 will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With NEOS Russell trading at USD 50.07, that is roughly USD 0.0125 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NEOS Russell's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NEOS Russell 2000 options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 NEOS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NEOS Russell's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NEOS Russell's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NEOS Russell stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NEOS Russell's open interest, investors have to compare it to NEOS Russell's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NEOS Russell is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NEOS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NEOS Russell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NEOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NEOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NEOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NEOS Russell Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NEOS Russell 2000 on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEOS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NEOS Russell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NEOS Russell Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NEOS Russell | NEOS Russell Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NEOS Russell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NEOS Russell's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NEOS Russell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.06 and 51.89, respectively. We have considered NEOS Russell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NEOS Russell etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NEOS Russell etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2779 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5393 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.4389 |
Predictive Modules for NEOS Russell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEOS Russell 2000. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NEOS Russell After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NEOS Russell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NEOS Russell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of NEOS Russell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NEOS Russell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NEOS Russell's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NEOS Russell's historical news coverage. NEOS Russell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.17 and 50.99, respectively. We have considered NEOS Russell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NEOS Russell is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NEOS Russell 2000 is based on 3 months time horizon.
NEOS Russell Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as NEOS Russell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NEOS Russell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NEOS Russell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.91 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.07 | 50.08 | 0.02 |
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NEOS Russell Hype Timeline
NEOS Russell 2000 is currently traded for 50.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. NEOS is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on NEOS Russell is about 771.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.08. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Russell to cross-verify your projections.NEOS Russell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NEOS Russell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NEOS Russell's future price movements. Getting to know how NEOS Russell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NEOS Russell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KJAN | Innovator Russell 2000 | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.68 | (0.01) | 1.31 | (1.13) | 3.00 | |
| OMFS | Oppenheimer Russell 2000 | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.97 | 0.04 | 2.08 | (1.92) | 5.12 | |
| UWM | ProShares Ultra Russell2000 | 0.11 | 7 per month | 2.17 | 0.05 | 3.64 | (3.67) | 9.10 | |
| ASLV | Allspring Exchange Traded Funds | 0.03 | 17 per month | 0.65 | 0.03 | 1.26 | (1.07) | 3.41 | |
| FXG | First Trust Consumer | 0.45 | 4 per month | 0.70 | (0.02) | 1.35 | (1.11) | 3.17 | |
| BRTR | BlackRock Total Return | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.16 | (0.31) | 0.28 | (0.31) | 0.75 | |
| VALQ | American Century STOXX | 0.12 | 3 per month | 0.58 | 0.04 | 1.42 | (1.19) | 3.86 | |
| FLV | American Century ETF | 0.23 | 3 per month | 0.42 | 0.07 | 1.19 | (1.03) | 2.75 | |
| PPIE | Putnam ETF Trust | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.06 | 1.23 | (1.45) | 3.40 | |
| BKGI | BNY Mellon ETF | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.28 | 0.1 | 1.02 | (0.76) | 2.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for NEOS Russell
For every potential investor in NEOS, whether a beginner or expert, NEOS Russell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NEOS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NEOS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NEOS Russell's price trends.NEOS Russell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NEOS Russell etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NEOS Russell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NEOS Russell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NEOS Russell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NEOS Russell etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NEOS Russell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NEOS Russell etf market strength indicators, traders can identify NEOS Russell 2000 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NEOS Russell Risk Indicators
The analysis of NEOS Russell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NEOS Russell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neos etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6743 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7768 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8874 | |||
| Variance | 0.7875 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7909 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6034 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NEOS Russell
The number of cover stories for NEOS Russell depends on current market conditions and NEOS Russell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NEOS Russell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NEOS Russell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Russell to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
NEOS Russell 2000's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on NEOS's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate NEOS Russell's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since NEOS Russell's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NEOS Russell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NEOS Russell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NEOS Russell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.