Defiance R2000 Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| IWMY Etf | 20.48 0.36 1.73% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance R2000 Target on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70. Defiance Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Defiance R2000's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance R2000 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance R2000 Target from the perspective of Defiance R2000 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance R2000 Target on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70. Defiance R2000 after-hype prediction price | USD 20.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Defiance R2000 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Defiance R2000 Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance R2000 Target on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance R2000's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance R2000 Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Defiance R2000 | Defiance R2000 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Defiance R2000 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Defiance R2000's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Defiance R2000's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.62 and 21.34, respectively. We have considered Defiance R2000's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance R2000 etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance R2000 etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1548 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0109 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1643 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.695 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance R2000
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance R2000 Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Defiance R2000 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defiance R2000 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defiance R2000 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Defiance R2000, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defiance R2000 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defiance R2000's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defiance R2000's historical news coverage. Defiance R2000's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.00 and 21.68, respectively. We have considered Defiance R2000's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defiance R2000 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defiance R2000 Target is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defiance R2000 Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Defiance R2000 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defiance R2000 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defiance R2000, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.48 | 20.84 | 0.00 |
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Defiance R2000 Hype Timeline
Defiance R2000 Target is currently traded for 20.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Defiance is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Defiance R2000 is about 17200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.48. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance R2000 to cross-verify your projections.Defiance R2000 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defiance R2000's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defiance R2000's future price movements. Getting to know how Defiance R2000's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defiance R2000 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NFLY | YieldMax NFLX Option | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.08 | (3.30) | 6.91 | |
| MSFO | YieldMax MSFT Option | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.53 | (1.95) | 4.47 | |
| RDTE | Roundhill ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | (0.01) | 1.39 | (1.58) | 4.08 | |
| BMAY | Innovator SP 500 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | (0.19) | 0.51 | (0.34) | 1.31 | |
| XBAP | Innovator Equity Accelerated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.28 | (0.28) | 0.92 | |
| MSTB | ETF Series Solutions | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.87 | (1.27) | 3.61 | |
| KJUL | Innovator Russell 2000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | (0.05) | 0.62 | (0.71) | 1.92 | |
| APLY | YieldMax AAPL Option | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.05 | (1.49) | 4.90 | |
| DIM | WisdomTree International MidCap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.07 | 1.00 | (1.13) | 2.90 | |
| TPIF | Timothy Plan International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.05 | 1.05 | (0.99) | 2.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Defiance R2000
For every potential investor in Defiance, whether a beginner or expert, Defiance R2000's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Defiance Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Defiance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Defiance R2000's price trends.Defiance R2000 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance R2000 etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance R2000 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance R2000 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance R2000 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Defiance R2000 etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Defiance R2000 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Defiance R2000 etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Defiance R2000 Target entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Defiance R2000 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance R2000's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance R2000's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6804 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9798 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8649 | |||
| Variance | 0.748 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9601 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Defiance R2000
The number of cover stories for Defiance R2000 depends on current market conditions and Defiance R2000's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Defiance R2000 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Defiance R2000's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance R2000 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
The market value of Defiance R2000 Target is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance R2000's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance R2000's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance R2000's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance R2000's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance R2000's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance R2000 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance R2000's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.