IDEXX Laboratories Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IX1 Stock  EUR 406.20  6.80  1.70%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDEXX Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 406.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 272.20. IDEXX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IDEXX Laboratories' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
IDEXX Laboratories simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for IDEXX Laboratories are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as IDEXX Laboratories prices get older.

IDEXX Laboratories Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDEXX Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 406.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.54, mean absolute percentage error of 41.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 272.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IDEXX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IDEXX Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IDEXX Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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IDEXX Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IDEXX Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IDEXX Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 404.64 and 407.76, respectively. We have considered IDEXX Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
406.20
404.64
Downside
406.20
Expected Value
407.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IDEXX Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IDEXX Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9973
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.24
MADMean absolute deviation4.5367
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0109
SAESum of the absolute errors272.2
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting IDEXX Laboratories forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IDEXX Laboratories observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IDEXX Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDEXX Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
404.64406.20407.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
339.65341.21446.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
390.49400.13409.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IDEXX Laboratories

For every potential investor in IDEXX, whether a beginner or expert, IDEXX Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IDEXX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IDEXX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IDEXX Laboratories' price trends.

IDEXX Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IDEXX Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IDEXX Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IDEXX Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IDEXX Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IDEXX Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IDEXX Laboratories' current price.

IDEXX Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IDEXX Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IDEXX Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IDEXX Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IDEXX Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IDEXX Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of IDEXX Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IDEXX Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting idexx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in IDEXX Stock

When determining whether IDEXX Laboratories offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IDEXX Laboratories' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Idexx Laboratories Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Idexx Laboratories Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IDEXX Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in IDEXX Stock please use our How to Invest in IDEXX Laboratories guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IDEXX Laboratories' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IDEXX Laboratories is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IDEXX Laboratories' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.