Jamna Auto Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

JAMNAAUTO   102.97  2.57  2.44%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jamna Auto Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 103.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.48. Jamna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Jamna Auto Industries is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Jamna Auto 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jamna Auto Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 103.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89, mean absolute percentage error of 12.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jamna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jamna Auto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jamna Auto Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jamna Auto Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jamna Auto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jamna Auto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 101.34 and 105.97, respectively. We have considered Jamna Auto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
102.97
101.34
Downside
103.65
Expected Value
105.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jamna Auto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jamna Auto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2951
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.824
MADMean absolute deviation2.8857
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0258
SAESum of the absolute errors164.4825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Jamna Auto. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Jamna Auto Industries and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Jamna Auto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jamna Auto Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.65102.97105.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.67108.28110.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.28105.76110.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jamna Auto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jamna Auto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jamna Auto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jamna Auto Industries.

Other Forecasting Options for Jamna Auto

For every potential investor in Jamna, whether a beginner or expert, Jamna Auto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jamna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jamna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jamna Auto's price trends.

Jamna Auto Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jamna Auto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jamna Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jamna Auto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jamna Auto Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jamna Auto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jamna Auto's current price.

Jamna Auto Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jamna Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jamna Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jamna Auto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jamna Auto Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jamna Auto Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jamna Auto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jamna Auto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jamna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Jamna Stock Analysis

When running Jamna Auto's price analysis, check to measure Jamna Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jamna Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Jamna Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jamna Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jamna Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jamna Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.