Janus Triton Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

JANIX Fund  USD 28.15  0.23  0.82%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Janus Triton Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 28.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.30. JANUS Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Janus Triton's mutual fund price is slightly above 69. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling JANUS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Janus Triton's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Janus Triton Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Janus Triton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Janus Triton Fund from the perspective of Janus Triton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Janus Triton Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 28.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.30.

Janus Triton after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Janus Triton to cross-verify your projections.

Janus Triton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JANUS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JANUS using various technical indicators. When you analyze JANUS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Janus Triton price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Janus Triton Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Janus Triton Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 28.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JANUS Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Janus Triton's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Janus Triton Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Janus TritonJanus Triton Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Janus Triton Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Janus Triton's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Janus Triton's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.58 and 30.18, respectively. We have considered Janus Triton's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.15
28.38
Expected Value
30.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Janus Triton mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Janus Triton mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7747
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.677
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0277
SAESum of the absolute errors41.2956
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Janus Triton Fund historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Janus Triton

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janus Triton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.715.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.0627.0928.13
Details

Janus Triton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Janus Triton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Janus Triton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Janus Triton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Janus Triton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Janus Triton's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Janus Triton's historical news coverage. Janus Triton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.80, respectively. We have considered Janus Triton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.15
0.00
After-hype Price
1.80
Upside
Janus Triton is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Janus Triton is based on 3 months time horizon.

Janus Triton Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Janus Triton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Janus Triton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Janus Triton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
1.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.15
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Janus Triton Hype Timeline

Janus Triton is currently traded for 28.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. JANUS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Janus Triton is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.15. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Janus Triton to cross-verify your projections.

Janus Triton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Janus Triton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Janus Triton's future price movements. Getting to know how Janus Triton's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Janus Triton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JGMAXJanus Triton Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.54  0.13  1.53 (1.15) 14.56 
JGMNXJanus Triton Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.14  1.54 (1.14) 12.90 
VSNGXJpmorgan Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.58  0.04  1.46 (1.22) 8.59 
MPGFXMairs Power Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.82 (0.01) 1.17 (1.37) 6.00 
JENYXThe Jensen Portfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.95 (1.01) 62.80 
JENIXThe Jensen Portfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.95 (1.01) 62.71 
JENSXThe Jensen Portfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.98 (1.04) 62.39 
FAXTXAmerican Funds 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.70 (0.05) 1.03 (1.24) 3.03 
PWJZXPrudential Jennison International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.35 (2.11) 4.23 
GOGIXJohn Hancock International 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.02  1.19 (1.26) 3.21 

Other Forecasting Options for Janus Triton

For every potential investor in JANUS, whether a beginner or expert, Janus Triton's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JANUS Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JANUS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Janus Triton's price trends.

Janus Triton Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Janus Triton mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Janus Triton could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Janus Triton by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Janus Triton Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Janus Triton mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Janus Triton shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Janus Triton mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Janus Triton Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Janus Triton Risk Indicators

The analysis of Janus Triton's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Janus Triton's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting janus mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Janus Triton

The number of cover stories for Janus Triton depends on current market conditions and Janus Triton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Janus Triton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Janus Triton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in JANUS Mutual Fund

Janus Triton financial ratios help investors to determine whether JANUS Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JANUS with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Triton security.
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