JPMorgan China Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

JCGI Stock   296.50  0.11  0.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JPMorgan China Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 303.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 185.89. JPMorgan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of JPMorgan China's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JPMorgan China's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JPMorgan China and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JPMorgan China's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JPMorgan China Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JPMorgan China's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.474
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.475
Using JPMorgan China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JPMorgan China Growth from the perspective of JPMorgan China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JPMorgan China Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 303.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 185.89.

JPMorgan China after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 297.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan China to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, JPMorgan China's Net Invested Capital is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

JPMorgan China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JPMorgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JPMorgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze JPMorgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for JPMorgan China is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JPMorgan China Growth value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JPMorgan China Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JPMorgan China Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 303.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.05, mean absolute percentage error of 13.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 185.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPMorgan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPMorgan China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JPMorgan China Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JPMorgan ChinaJPMorgan China Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

JPMorgan China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JPMorgan China's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPMorgan China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 301.85 and 304.25, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
296.50
301.85
Downside
303.05
Expected Value
304.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPMorgan China stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPMorgan China stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7006
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0474
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors185.8912
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JPMorgan China Growth. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JPMorgan China. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JPMorgan China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan China Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
295.89297.09298.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
289.57290.77326.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JPMorgan China

For every potential investor in JPMorgan, whether a beginner or expert, JPMorgan China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPMorgan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPMorgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPMorgan China's price trends.

JPMorgan China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPMorgan China stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPMorgan China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JPMorgan China Growth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JPMorgan China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JPMorgan China's current price.

JPMorgan China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPMorgan China stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPMorgan China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPMorgan China stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JPMorgan China Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JPMorgan China Risk Indicators

The analysis of JPMorgan China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPMorgan China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpmorgan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for JPMorgan Stock Analysis

When running JPMorgan China's price analysis, check to measure JPMorgan China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMorgan China is operating at the current time. Most of JPMorgan China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMorgan China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMorgan China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMorgan China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.